Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crew Dragon | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Fast Bro | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Maker | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barsabas | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oncoming | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foothill | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Percolate (IRE) | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halfbarberbingie | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pacific States | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Goldenspa | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stop and a Tres | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Take Charge Curly | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trusty Rusty | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lord Mo | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Pat Can’t Count | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Shining Light (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Who’s Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Encode | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elevado | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wyfire | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Naismith | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle George | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Really Big News | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New York Dreams (GB) | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame George | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Shining Light (IRE) | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saddle Up Jessie | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Flush | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Sugar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sapadilla | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alex’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Dream | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nearest N Dearest | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justin’s Lady | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosy Edge | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tizlightning | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Special | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Horn of Plenty | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Speed | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Tiber | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Box of Chocolates | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Image | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catbernay | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smileforme | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roy C | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Key Is Unity | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mitad Del Mundo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lottery Pick | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Attenzione | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ivory Sky | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Flint | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil Moon | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tim’s Tribute | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nolo Contesto | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Intro | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sippin N Kissin | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Granada Flavor | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thanks Maggio (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Careless Kitten | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Swede | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chris Fix | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoodlum | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Socal Red | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crypto Munny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Astra S.) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barrister’s Ride | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrens Candy Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz an Edventure | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almost a Factor | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Australia Mia | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Heat | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Clementine (GB) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marks Hip | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crowning Gold | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay in the Game | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mentirosa | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Adrock | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrens World | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Argentina Cries (IRE) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top of My Game | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Army Star | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Beams | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Magician | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiancer | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Feet | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawker | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zio Jo | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | One of These Days (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Prince | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balthazar | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conclude | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Xander | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Kraken | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nineteeneightyfour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.