Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cookie Crumbs 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Deniece of Degrace 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Nightsaber (GB) 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fancy Azteca 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Germany Jayvo 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mean Mongol 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bounty Killah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alcools 1.20 1 2-1
1A 8 Zertz 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 1 Lohengrin Two 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Hagler 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Marvin 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 2 Senor Jobim 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Bustin the Rules 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cant Stop This Man 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crypto Mama 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gold Medal Anna 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Shidabhuti 1.60 3.7 7-1
4 4 Divine Cross 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 La Vita Sofia 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Howzyourcashflow 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She Caught My Eye 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Racing Colors 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Shaolin 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pave My Way 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Princess Pinky 5.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Poncho Song 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Exfiltration 30.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Voice of Spring 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Stormi Cat Lady 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pirate Rick 0 0-1
4 4 Fire Sword 12.00 1 2-1
6 7 Lobsta 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Happy Farm 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Amundson 2.00 2.7 5-1
1A 6 Pirate Rick 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Stage Left 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kadri 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mischief Motion 0 0-1
3 3 Laochi 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Spooky Lady 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 J D Advantage 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mischief Motion 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Just a Nyquist 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Hail Britannia 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Virtual Beauty 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bon Adieu 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tough Street 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 My First Love 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Keen Dancer 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shadolamo 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Duckphat 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Salsa a Parte 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Preposterous 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Franklin Square S.) – Franklin Square S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stonewall Star 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Starry Midnight 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lockbox 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Banterra 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Little Linzee 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Security Code 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Queens Masterpiece 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Truculent 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Trigger Pull 30.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dust Devil 1.80 3.8 7-1
10 10 Scotty 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Microscope 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Vintage Hollywood 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 American Lincoln 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Bingo John 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Musical America 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Excursion 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.