Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiergarten | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violet Storm | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vulin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Above Suspicion | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amage | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hennys Crazy Train | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Rachel | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saturday Heist | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Sweet | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A New Peace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chaos Theory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fully Loaded | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finally Here | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maven | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ted | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winding | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Agree to Settle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Little Bit Crazy | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anna’s Music | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss My Kat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chevy Girl | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat Bandit | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linger | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Bardot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southern King | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overdue | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Buzz | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Larry’s Legend | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niles Channel | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | East Rand | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tembo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harlocap | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Man | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Tok | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat On | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texthelegend | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Brick | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Burner | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quincy Market | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forgiving Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savile Row | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Apollo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stotland | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daniel’s Magic | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conch Daddy | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Lily | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Youteyourhonor | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manorelli | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bowl of Cherries | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Bossy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Adaleigh | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lasting Love | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Panther | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Playlist | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mount Mary (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ag Bullet | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marinas Tina (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rivka (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Fox | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gila | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Patsy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Nell | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Now | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Impact (GB) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Con Seal and Kerry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.