Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Chaser | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Per Key D P | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Befriendtheenemy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scandalissimo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pagett | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Bay | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Stop Maxey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Runnin Joke | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Brown Shoes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Man | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Causes Trouble | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misbehaved | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wispering Springs | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primordial Fear | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jovial | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wheresthepassion | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Jones | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hometown Hero | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horse Be With You | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musk | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tankinator | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Don | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ante Up Alex | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Me Hardy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Map of Life | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | True Phenomenon | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Girl | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Complain | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marion Grace | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Sicaria | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Cinnamon | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jersey Coast | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Tangie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buffalo Shuffle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Slick Start | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope for Gold | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gushing Oil | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ilovecharlybrown | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splitzville | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goldenlineof | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Load Up Moe | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calculated Breeze | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lassie’s Notion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tentations | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Direction | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Memento Mi | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Lucky | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twodogsfourcats | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moonboots | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ima Pharoah | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Hide the Ransom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Lover | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neigh Dude | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Pharoah | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saponara | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E T’s Candy Man | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dangnabbit | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pederson’s Courage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cuneo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Practical Way | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Exaggerateddefence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windsor Gold | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marvelousmoondance | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burn the Evidence | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flaco Explosivo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Threethirtythree | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Way | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viral Video | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nicky Da Fox | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gerry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edge of Glory | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Culture | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natagar | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Funkenstein | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kodapendent | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Revolution | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super John | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Realm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shackinthebox | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Royal | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Confession | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Praetorian Guard | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paynted Warrior | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lyfe Is Simple | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | McCrakens Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daydreaming Boy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hot Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekend in Court | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Call Fitzroy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Saint | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somebody | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ronin Warrior | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Night Ops | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long Gray Line | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weekend in Court | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of War | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wagon Boss | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dubrovsky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jacks American Pie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.