Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mostly Harmless | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afilada | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracefully Wild | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becauseofthebrave | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Pride | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caiarossa | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hatch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bert Bert Bert | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mauritius | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mach One | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Basis Risk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Buckingham Prince | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sicilian Grandma | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Choir | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Quinn | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Audit Committee | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jessica’s Race | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Mayor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Tiger | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Joy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exxtop | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enforcer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One More Score | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Kraft | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gem Mint Ten | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Launch Control | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bingood to Knowya | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chalky Cat | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Electric Stuff | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Force | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ferris Muler | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zealous Legacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prisoner | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senor Jobim | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jemography | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Blues | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timeless Journey | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Inspire U | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Princess | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sofia’s Secret | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mommasgottarun | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far Away Love (ARG) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Overstep | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timbuktu | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Revenger | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Uno | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mason Mania | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Here’s Waldo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Suspect | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Marbooz | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Son of an Ex | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alite | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tra Lad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.