Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu S S | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Burns | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gormleys Got Game | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millard’s Smile | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sermononthemount | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mishko | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cap Rock Miner | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gray Blur | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Lex | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Color Fast | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muscadine | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trader Price | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Check Me Out | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Woadie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Sexy Zong | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Chalice | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Little Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Prayer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tyler’s Sensation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Binding Agreement | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hooray Austin | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win Ya Win | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G’wildcat | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlettsblackjack | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Palace | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dust Em | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrant | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Logistics | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rightandjust | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mailman Money | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zippin Gigi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Underhill’s Tab | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Roses | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boyfriend Material | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Ready | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greys the Boy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Badgeball | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perrins | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Northernreflection | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scoring Drive | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Single Shot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Credo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee County | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oneforvivi | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtman | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Western Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ole Stud Muffin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Easy Runner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Play Mo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drilling Report | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Bind Faith | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Cheese | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Drewhustle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Smarty Alex | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oak Hill Solution | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Everlovinghand | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.