Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1A Reserve Currency 1.00 4.39 2.90 2.70 2.10
1 Systemic Change 1.00 4.72 2.70 2.10
5 Predicted 10.00 2.44 4.30

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $9.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-4) Pays $21.12
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-4-2) Pays $9.50


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Star Attitude 1.80 4.17 4.90 3.30 2.30
5 Steady Progress 8.00 3.58 6.40 3.80
1 Home School 2.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $12.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-1) Pays $19.62
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-1-2) Pays $9.25


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Bronx Bomber 2.50 3.83 6.80 3.90 2.90
5 Breaking Stones 3.50 2.18 4.80 3.30
1 Striking Speed 12.00 6.00 5.20
Striking Speed

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $13.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-1) Pays $29.00
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-1-6) Pays $14.95


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1A Smoke and Heat 0.60 1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
3 Stjames 12.00 7.00 9.50 4.60
Stjames
2 Mad Magic 5.00 4.51 2.30

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $12.90
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-2) Pays $14.87
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-2-4) Pays $8.07


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Just a Nyquist 1.60 3.02 3.90 2.60 2.10
5 Tonight We Love 5.00 3.50 7.50 4.30
4 Frosty Invasion 8.00 2.59 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $8.40
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-4) Pays $20.37
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-4-7) Pays $14.02


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Drink the Wind 3.00 1.00 5.80 3.20 2.50
4 Big Venezuela 2.50 4.36 3.90 2.80
1 Lord Gatling 6.00 1.08 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-4) Pays $8.50
$0.50 Trifecta (7-4-1) Pays $13.37
$0.10 Superfecta (7-4-1-6) Pays $5.10


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1A Treasure Trove 4.00 4.04 9.90 7.50 0.00
1 Southern District 4.00 1.17 7.50 0.00
6 Kinetic Sky 3.00 1.00 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $10.30
$0.50 Trifecta (Refund) Pays $1.00
$0.10 Superfecta (Refund) Pays $1.00


RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Fancy Azteca 5.00 4.75 5.70 3.40 2.50
2 Pebble Lane 4.50 4.35 3.80 2.70
1 Lady Shylock 3.00 3.56 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-2) Pays $14.60
$0.50 Trifecta (8-2-1) Pays $23.12
$0.10 Superfecta (8-2-1-7) Pays $24.57


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.