Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Steerage 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Reunion Tour 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Makart 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bointheback 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Noah’s Destiny 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Zeebear 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rol Again Dancer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Outlaw Country 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Larz 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Flashy Alex 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mshindi 4.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Basic Truth 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glory Road 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 O’Trouble 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Two Thirty Five 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lost in Rome 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 It’s Mandatory 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hypnocurrency 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Follow the Fed 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Two Redheads 1.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Aperol Spritz 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Dashing Della 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Cause I’m Elegant 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Strange Fruit 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Money in the Bank 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Quickflash 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Synthesis 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Alcools 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jake Rocks 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Caerus 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Famished 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Code 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tin Pan Alley 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Writer’s Regret 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Daufuskie Island 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Agility 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Basis Risk 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 My Man Matty 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Self Isolation 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Easy to Bless 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Secret Love 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Honey Money 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Exotic West 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Mosienko 2.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Piece of My Heart 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Two Chuckles 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Empire Ride 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Connect the Brocks 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 In My Shadow 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Boys Code 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 October Bliss 1.20 6.4 12-1
1 1 Bear’s Correct 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Bobbo’s Boy 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.