Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Stealing Apriority 2.00 1.00 6.40 3.40 2.40
4 Arctic Rose 3.00 2.07 3.00 2.60
5 Herewecometogetyou 4.50 3.19 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $6.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-5) Pays $9.90
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-5-1) Pays $6.29


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Sikum 2.00 1.00 6.20 3.20 2.20
2B Madam Henny 2.50 1.28 0.00 0.00
3 Nostalgia 4.00 2.51 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-2) Pays $8.50
$0.50 Trifecta (5-2-3) Pays $9.40
$0.10 Superfecta (5-2-3-1) Pays $2.33


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Mongolian Bee 6.00 1.79 24.20 7.40 4.20
1 Fastnfurious 2.00 1.00 3.00 3.00
4 Rammer Jammer 3.00 1.74 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $33.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-4) Pays $58.45
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-4-5) Pays $25.29


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Unified Dreams 2.50 1.00 4.80 3.00 2.40
4 Trigger Happy 6.00 3.74 4.20 3.00
3 Arabian Prince 3.00 2.81 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $13.20
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-3) Pays $23.20
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-3-1) Pays $9.90


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Lord Captain 2.00 2.06 3.80 3.40 2.80
2 He’s Got This 8.00 4.02 6.60 4.00
6 Millard’s Smile 5.00 2.54 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $12.30
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-6) Pays $46.25
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-6-1) Pays $25.40


RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Jeeper 1.80 1.00 3.60 2.20 2.10
5 Seeking Unity 3.50 3.80 2.60 2.20
4 Celluloid Hero 3.00 2.91 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $4.00
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-4) Pays $4.70
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-4-3) Pays $2.47


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Wonderful Justice (GB) 2.50 1.08 6.40 4.40 2.60
3 He’s Got Swagger 3.50 1.60 5.40 2.60
1 Desert Duke 3.00 1.00 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-3) Pays $14.90
$0.50 Trifecta (8-3-1) Pays $20.10
$0.10 Superfecta (8-3-1-7) Pays $8.32


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Pray for Us 3.00 1.00 6.60 3.60 3.00
1 Mia Antonia 3.50 3.06 3.40 2.80
3 Starsnmotion 4.00 3.74 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (7-1) Pays $9.40
$0.50 Trifecta (7-1-3) Pays $23.80
$0.10 Superfecta (7-1-3-6) Pays $13.92


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.