Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Advance Cash 3.50 2.06 9.20 4.80 4.00
3 Vladislav 5.00 2.86 6.80 5.00
5 Chef Menteur 20.00 1.00 12.80

$1.00 Exacta (9-3) Pays $26.90
$0.50 Trifecta (9-3-5) Pays $165.25
$0.10 Superfecta (9-3-5-13) Pays $105.23


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Bella Miura 1.80 1.70 7.40 3.40 2.40
3 Katz That Gal 3.50 2.18 3.80 2.80
2 Kilkenny Bella 8.00 2.09 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-3) Pays $16.70
$0.50 Trifecta (5-3-2) Pays $21.75
$0.10 Superfecta (5-3-2-7) Pays $8.05


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Gun Maestro 12.00 3.60 38.80 15.40 7.60
8 Jackson’s Webb 5.00 2.09 6.80 4.20
7 With Purpose 4.50 3.79 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-8) Pays $95.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-8-7) Pays $341.65
$0.10 Superfecta (6-8-7-1) Pays $326.10


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Demurely 0.80 3.65 3.40 2.40 2.20
1 Oaxaca 8.00 2.13 5.60 4.00
7 Heir to the Roar 8.00 1.00 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $11.50
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-7) Pays $22.35
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-7-6) Pays $54.39


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 King’s Fortune 4.00 6.76 14.40 7.80 4.80
1 Just So 5.00 7.25 10.20 6.00
2 Gipsy Chief (GB) 6.00 1.98 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $53.80
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-2) Pays $96.35
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-2-4) Pays $40.73


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiborne Farm Swale S.) – Claiborne Farm Swale S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 General Jim 2.50 2.95 5.20 2.40 2.10
6 Super Chow 1.20 1.00 2.20 2.10
3 Two of a Kind 4.00 1.41 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $5.50
$0.50 Trifecta (1-6-3) Pays $5.15
$0.10 Superfecta (1-6-3-2) Pays $2.16


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Shadow Sphinx 3.00 1.00 7.40 4.00 2.80
6 Richiesgotgame 20.00 6.65 7.20 4.80
7 Lucky Curlin 15.00 4.89 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-6) Pays $32.60
$0.50 Trifecta (2-6-7) Pays $93.25
$0.10 Superfecta (2-6-7-5) Pays $60.71


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Tapit Trice 1.80 1.00 4.60 2.20 2.10
7 Shesterkin 1.60 1.47 2.20 2.10
4 Live Is Life 12.00 4.11 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-7) Pays $3.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-7-4) Pays $4.85
$0.10 Superfecta (1-7-4-2) Pays $5.31


RACE NUMBER 9 (Kitten’s Joy S.) – Kitten’s Joy S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Major Dude 2.50 4.44 4.80 2.60 2.40
1 Candidate 3.00 1.00 3.60 3.00
6 Dude N Colorado (GB) 6.00 6.09 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $6.40
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-6) Pays $12.80
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-6-8) Pays $14.25


RACE NUMBER 10 (Forward Gal S.) – Forward Gal S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Red Carpet Ready 4.00 2.71 6.60 3.40 2.40
Red Carpet Ready
7 Undervalued Asset 3.50 4.55 4.20 2.80
3 Atomically 3.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-7) Pays $11.50
$0.50 Trifecta (8-7-3) Pays $14.80
$0.10 Superfecta (8-7-3-9) Pays $12.09


RACE NUMBER 11 (Sweetest Chant S.) – Sweetest Chant S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Cairo Consort 2.00 2.12 6.40 3.80 2.80
5 Alpha Bella 8.00 7.47 11.20 6.20
8 Heavenly Sunday 5.00 6.02 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $30.80
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-8) Pays $59.30
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-8-4) Pays $145.22


RACE NUMBER 12 (Holy Bull S.) – Holy Bull S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Rocket Can 3.50 5.55 7.20 4.20 3.60
Rocket Can
3 Shadow Dragon 15.00 8.00 22.00 10.00
2 West Coast Cowboy 12.00 7.95 14.00

$1.00 Exacta (8-3) Pays $74.70
$0.50 Trifecta (8-3-2) Pays $411.80
$0.10 Superfecta (8-3-2-6) Pays $680.60


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.