Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Icy Reply 10.00 3.48 25.40 10.80 5.60
5 If Then 2.00 2.78 3.80 2.60
6 Mo Fire 5.00 4.65 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $63.00
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-6) Pays $147.25
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-6-4) Pays $125.04


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 The Thinker 6.00 4.36 11.40 4.60 2.40
5 Wired In 2.00 3.55 2.60 2.10
6 Secret Sanctuary 2.50 1.00 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $16.60
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-6) Pays $13.50
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-6-1) Pays $4.57


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Mailman’s a Flyer 4.50 3.01 7.20 3.60 2.80
1 Pudge Boy Palace 4.00 1.00 4.60 3.60
4 Hellman 6.00 3.36 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $26.40
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-4) Pays $60.95
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-4-2) Pays $33.30


RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 R Tenderoni 2.50 1.00 5.40 3.00 2.40
4 Abidale 3.50 1.89 2.80 2.40
6 How Lucky 4.50 2.72 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $7.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-6) Pays $11.80
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-6-5) Pays $5.72


RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Ace Nine Nine 6.00 4.63 12.80 4.80 3.20
8 Forloveofcountry 2.00 1.00 4.20 2.20
5 Clubman 2.50 1.50 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (4-8) Pays $26.10
$0.50 Trifecta (4-8-5) Pays $26.00
$0.10 Superfecta (4-8-5-3) Pays $10.19


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Excellorator 8.00 4.02 10.60 4.20 3.20
5 Shaft’s Bullet 5.00 4.24 5.00 3.60
10 Workin On a Dream 20.00 1.48 9.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $23.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-10) Pays $154.80
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-10-7) Pays $127.70


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 John the Bear 3.00 2.40 4.60 3.40 2.80
2 Going to the Lead 4.00 4.70 5.00 3.00
1 War Tocsin 10.00 5.83 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-2) Pays $12.80
$0.50 Trifecta (7-2-1) Pays $40.60
$0.10 Superfecta (7-2-1-3) Pays $16.48


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Response Time 2.00 4.05 4.40 2.40 2.20
3 Princess Kokachin 2.50 1.00 3.00 3.00
4 Moody Woman 8.00 4.42 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-3) Pays $7.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-3-4) Pays $11.10
$0.10 Superfecta (5-3-4-6) Pays $7.05


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Jimmydabook 10.00 7.57 12.60 6.00 3.60
5 Cami Rachelle 2.50 1.00 5.00 3.20
7 Waverley 4.50 3.61 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $21.80
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-7) Pays $39.65
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-7-2) Pays $48.40


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.