Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Doc Adams 1.60 1.00 3.60 2.80 2.20
1 Talklessworkmore 6.00 3.95 5.00 3.20
4 Big Talker 6.00 3.72 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $8.30
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-4) Pays $11.40
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-4-3) Pays $5.15


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Very Scary 5.00 3.72 16.20 7.60 5.00
1 Slam Diego 3.00 5.62 8.00 5.20
6 Glenall (IRE) 3.50 1.65 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $53.60
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-6) Pays $78.65
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-6-4) Pays $86.04


RACE NUMBER 3 (Robert B. Lewis S.) – Robert B. Lewis S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Newgate 1.60 2.31 4.00 2.60 0.00
4 Hard to Figure 8.00 4.00 5.20 0.00
Hard to Figure
3 Worcester 1.80 3.96 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $13.70
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-3) Pays $18.60


RACE NUMBER 4 (Megahertz S.) – Megahertz S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Quattroelle (IRE) 8.00 2.59 23.60 8.80 5.00
1 Bay Storm 5.00 1.00 5.60 3.80
4 Closing Remarks 3.50 1.32 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-1) Pays $56.50
$0.50 Trifecta (7-1-4) Pays $113.75
$0.10 Superfecta (7-1-4-5) Pays $173.12


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Bus Buzz 6.00 4.17 14.40 7.80 4.40
1 Catalina Eddy 10.00 4.24 17.20 5.20
5 Seattle Surf 4.00 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $92.60
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-5) Pays $164.30
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-5-2) Pays $102.74


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Tom’s Beauty 4.00 4.47 8.00 3.60 3.00
10 Carmen Miranda 3.50 2.03 3.00 2.60
7 Rebel Girl 8.00 6.09 8.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-10) Pays $11.70
$0.50 Trifecta (2-10-7) Pays $67.00
$0.10 Superfecta (2-10-7-9) Pays $56.11


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Henry Q 4.00 3.88 13.40 7.20 4.20
9 Bluegrass Go Go 12.00 4.62 18.20 10.40
3 Big Hat Willie 3.00 1.00 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-9) Pays $108.30
$0.50 Trifecta (2-9-3) Pays $236.50
$0.10 Superfecta (2-9-3-8) Pays $197.26


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Genius Jimmy 12.00 7.02 27.60 10.00 7.00
2 Escape Artist 4.00 1.00 4.20 3.40
4 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 4.00 6.27 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-2) Pays $73.00
$0.50 Trifecta (10-2-4) Pays $216.35
$0.10 Superfecta (10-2-4-5) Pays $643.06


RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Monica S.) – Santa Monica S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Fun to Dream 1.60 1.00 3.00 2.10 2.10
5 Awake At Midnyte 2.50 4.45 2.80 2.10
3 Samurai Charm 4.00 2.84 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $2.70
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-3) Pays $5.25
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-3-6) Pays $1.95


RACE NUMBER 10 (Thunder Road S.) – Thunder Road S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Earls Rock (IRE) 5.00 1.00 9.80 5.20 3.20
2 Du Jour 15.00 5.73 13.40 7.40
8 Air Force Red 3.00 1.64 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-2) Pays $63.00
$0.50 Trifecta (1-2-8) Pays $115.75
$0.10 Superfecta (1-2-8-6) Pays $354.98


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.