Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Gifted | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tryinmyheartout | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | River Oaks | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Balpool | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Check Engine Light | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Alice Kramden | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Sensation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Freudian | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Synonymous | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Orb | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tekila | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 4 | April Antics | 1.20 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | America’s Pride | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ruthless S.) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Moonshine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Trouble | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Interpolate | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Poppy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senior Prank | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Money in the Bank | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | O’Trouble | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quickflash | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Alcools | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Synthesis | 1.20 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Famished | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Caerus | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustin the Rules | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Perceived | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hagler | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Warrior in Chief | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dark Storm | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Cool Quartet | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Bingo John | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Braciole | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Protege | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outasite | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Per Diem | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Persistent Danger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volkert | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnselectricride | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winit | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbonic | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reggae Music Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Funny Joke | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winners Laugh | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hang Tight | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turnsandconditions | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fenway | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Whirlwind Ride | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majority Partner | 0.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Pan Alley | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daufuskie Island | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Writer’s Regret | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agility | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Matty | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shinfull | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Stones | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caramocha | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vallelujah | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sophia | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.