Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hornbeam | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Mucho Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speight’spercomete | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Jim | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Order | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ludo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Workout | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Marco | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outworknforakiss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boom Boom Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lula’s Roadrunner | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Ryder | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marianna Queen | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abhaile | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creedibility | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Brexit | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Raphael | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Reason | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Angry Man | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outrageous Bet | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weekend in Court | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Elvis | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relishment | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Look Out Lambo | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten Street | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Turns | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Trick | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s Charge | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kith | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Take Control | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drone Swarm | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ilovecharlybrown | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Runs the Line | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye of Gunfighter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Texas Basin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champion by Design | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pederson’s Courage | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mahomes Money | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Slick Start | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Splitzville | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neigh Dude | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Healy’s Hope | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | E T’s Candy Man | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marvin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I’m Blaming You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frenchboro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recluse | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy for Carmel | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itwasthedevilsidea | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stevie T | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lt. Columbo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| Candy for Carmel | 7 | 13-1 | ||||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hop On Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thearcherortheprey | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempted to Touch | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divinary | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Precipice | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempest Rising | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elevenmonthslater | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flirting | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Military Hop | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Chazz | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Fly Over | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nimble Beast | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chain Reaction | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Case | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Little Harbour | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | First Navy Admiral | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| Captain Chazz | 9 | 17-1 | ||||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Backatya | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Bolt | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midlaner | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ruffy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tycoon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Charlie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Nessroundonkern | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unimpeachable | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Loose Ends | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Code | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corky’s Cause | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zillion | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For the Dreamers | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bucks Are Moving | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amigos Guitar | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One More Scoop | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fole’s Notion | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pensamiento | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deplane | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Imagine This | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Major Thomas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sense a Million | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Cousin | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Miss | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Stay Home | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hightime Valentine | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gia’s Fuego | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blunt Force | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valuable Breigh | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Broad Jumper | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Risque’s Jewel | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whyisshesoolucky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | World Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Abidale | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.