Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Abidale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonchild | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solemn Oath | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summary Judgment | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Sharpie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chewy Chewy Good | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Wall | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Wild Woman | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Solemn Oath | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forty Comets | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen Man | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Porsupuesto | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saint Marco | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Beast | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Yorktown | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jovial | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bigshot On Nothing | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wheresthepassion | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxim Moment | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Get the W | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strugar | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diesel | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes It’s Roo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Osprey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buffalo Shuffle | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portal One | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commissioner G | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Portal One | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He Hate Me | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince James | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puttheglassdown | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Filip | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sneakiness | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jw’strickymischief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Jw’strickymischief | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Serena | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allpaidup | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gris Tormenta | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Diane’s Comet | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shewearsthepants | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold’n Naughty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risen Change | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Magel | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Alex | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iova | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Bernadette | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Velocity | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breithorn | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Spoke | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strum and Pluck | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Cowboy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Solution | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Easy Day | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Sky We Trust | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoopla | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B B Bad | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ego Man | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Breakin Cash | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hushion | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lazaretto | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paradise Pride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Social Group | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lavery | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard Serrat | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skillful | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Hydrated | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Mountain | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahsad | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hibachi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Date Night Kisses | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashndynamite | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mercy Mercy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funwhileitlasted | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Dalliance | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chronology | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Daze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Loyalty | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambitiously Placed | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Dreams | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rob the Rich | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allevare | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hero Tiger | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jalen Journey | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Bob | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Primordial Fear | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duck Ducky Goose | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dadashev | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Connecting | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | About the Multiple | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Color Map | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Classy Union | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Americano | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Angelus Diamond | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunsanddrinkinhand | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heated Battle | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outworknforakiss | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wegottaguy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Jr | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.