Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Caseys Memory 3.50 1.89 4.80 3.60 2.20
1 Jazzy Justin 2.00 1.35 4.20 2.80
3 Fredonian 4.50 1.83 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $10.20
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-3) Pays $17.10
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-3-6) Pays $14.20


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 She’s My Priority 6.00 5.01 10.00 4.60 3.40
4 Mo Bella 3.00 2.34 2.60 2.60
1 Beaux Tox 8.00 1.00 5.60

$1.00 Exacta (9-4) Pays $14.90
$0.50 Trifecta (9-4-1) Pays $48.30
$0.10 Superfecta (9-4-1-7) Pays $35.25


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 World of Hurt 4.50 4.63 6.20 3.20 2.60
4 Gypsy Jackpot 2.50 4.17 4.20 3.60
3 Cece Wave 6.00 4.73 6.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-4) Pays $12.60
$0.50 Trifecta (5-4-3) Pays $34.00
$0.10 Superfecta (5-4-3-2) Pays $22.14


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Texas Turbine 4.00 2.41 6.00 3.40 2.40
4 Willie the Man 5.00 1.00 5.60 3.60
1 Mizspelt 12.00 4.54 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (7-4) Pays $23.40
$0.50 Trifecta (7-4-1) Pays $32.10
$0.10 Superfecta (7-4-1-3) Pays $32.00


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Cashew 3.00 1.00 4.60 3.20 2.10
2 Mschitchattour 4.50 2.76 5.40 2.40
5 Xcaret 4.00 1.16 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (8-2) Pays $18.70
$0.50 Trifecta (8-2-5) Pays $18.45
$0.10 Superfecta (8-2-5-1) Pays $28.64


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Blazing Charm 1.80 1.31 4.00 2.40 2.10
4 Simple Pleasure 3.50 1.72 2.60 2.10
7 Harlans Warrior 4.50 5.22 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $3.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-7) Pays $14.20
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-7-3) Pays $9.50


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Teasin’ Tesla 3.50 1.00 4.20 2.80 2.80
8 Start Well 4.50 5.92 4.60 3.80
7 Fuhr Meo 12.00 8.00 11.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-8) Pays $8.50
$0.50 Trifecta (1-8-7) Pays $39.45
$0.10 Superfecta (1-8-7-4) Pays $25.25


RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1A Pinch Assault 1.60 1.00 5.20 3.60 2.40
7 Cherokee Takeover 8.00 3.47 4.60 3.40
3 Wise Guy 12.00 2.66 6.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-7) Pays $11.40
$0.50 Trifecta (1-7-3) Pays $39.75
$0.10 Superfecta (1-7-3-4) Pays $48.93


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Super Spirit 2.50 4.87 6.60 4.20 3.00
9 Requite the Effort 15.00 6.67 25.40 13.80
7 Troska 6.00 3.29 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-9) Pays $94.00
$0.50 Trifecta (6-9-7) Pays $183.55
$0.10 Superfecta (6-9-7-2) Pays $546.76


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.