Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sounds Spooky | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormandy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steady Progress | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disturbed | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s My Business | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Weapon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Blue Paynt | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Vallarand | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Viradia | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Indian Bella | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mariah’s Fortune | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Its Cold in Dehere | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gringotts | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Prairie Fire | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of St Louis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Refuah | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eight and Sand | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Central Pride | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Dreams | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squid Gamer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tie Breaker | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valentino’s Here | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Complete Agenda | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Love | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blu Grotto | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breadman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fromanothamutha | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Exit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hang Tight | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fabulously Funny | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spelterini | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swanson Lake | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Balentina | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk Free | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap It Up | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Girl | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Jal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Excellent Timing | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majority Partner | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Writer’s Regret | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whittington Park | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Listentoyourheart | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Durkin’s Call | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masked Marauder | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Downtown Mischief | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midtown Lights | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luna Loca | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Security Code | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vax | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queens Masterpiece | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Miss Keens | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lockbox | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Sweet Khaile | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bad Connection | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flattering Gal | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fuligni | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Goddess | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs Bell | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Museum | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Follow the Fed | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scoreboard Lily | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maize Loved Laffy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Rose | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Rita | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Inner Voice | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| Bad Connection | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.