Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Lunar Module 3.50 6.56 4.20 2.60 2.40
3 Chili Red 2.50 4.02 2.60 2.60
6 Buck’s Glory 6.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-3) Pays $5.10
$0.50 Trifecta (7-3-6) Pays $7.55
$0.10 Superfecta (7-3-6-1) Pays $6.35


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Miss Melody 3.50 1.52 6.20 3.20 2.40
6 Lady Hopper 8.00 1.00 2.60 2.10
2 Tiz Hoppin 1.80 1.74 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-6) Pays $7.80
$0.50 Trifecta (3-6-2) Pays $11.85
$0.10 Superfecta (3-6-2-7) Pays $7.86


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Gatsby’s Gift 3.00 1.08 11.00 3.00 4.00
4 R T’s Gem 3.50 1.00 3.80 2.40
1 Cat B Cause 4.00 5.81 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $19.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-1) Pays $70.25
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-1-5) Pays $62.64


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Enduring Peace 4.50 6.11 16.80 7.20 4.00
3 Rose Crown 12.00 7.14 23.60 10.20
6 Prayers Saved 20.00 6.72 4.60
7 Action Potential 6.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $109.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-6) Pays $404.55
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-6-7) Pays $502.81


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Intimidation 10.00 3.46 23.60 9.20 6.00
8 Union Station 3.50 3.05 4.40 2.80
2 Far Beyond 10.00 3.94 7.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-8) Pays $37.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-8-2) Pays $113.35
$0.10 Superfecta (7-8-2-6) Pays $93.42


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Sassy Sue’s Band 8.00 2.69 7.60 4.80 3.20
1 Carlos Loves Tee 3.50 1.00 9.00 4.80
2 Finnleys Encore 4.00 3.22 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $36.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-2) Pays $56.65
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-2-6) Pays $63.51


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Meditate 4.00 1.10 6.20 2.60 2.60
1A Gracida 2.50 3.42 2.20 2.20
1 Darren’s Fortune 2.50 1.78 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-1) Pays $6.00
$0.50 Trifecta (2-1-7) Pays $23.95
$0.10 Superfecta (2-1-7-5) Pays $8.66


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Here Comes Lovie 2.50 1.00 4.40 2.40 2.10
9 Our Little Girl 3.50 5.49 2.80 2.40
4 Beautiful Ending 10.00 6.46 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-9) Pays $5.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-9-4) Pays $13.70
$0.10 Superfecta (6-9-4-5) Pays $13.81


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Summer Is Hot 4.00 3.14 5.40 3.40 2.40
4 Thursday Morning 15.00 5.44 41.20 18.20
7 Boston Belle 6.00 3.03 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-4) Pays $204.90
$0.50 Trifecta (6-4-7) Pays $588.30
$0.10 Superfecta (6-4-7-8) Pays $669.17


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.