Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Mumblebee 6.00 2.90 12.80 5.60 3.60
3 Lil’s Turn 4.00 1.00 5.40 3.00
6 Hissy Missy 3.50 4.59 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $30.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-6) Pays $37.05
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-6-7) Pays $32.18


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Pout 8.00 2.18 4.60 2.40 2.60
4 Windy Bay 1.60 3.87 2.60 2.40
8 Reaux Bina 30.00 5.31 6.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-4) Pays $4.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-4-8) Pays $21.70
$0.10 Superfecta (6-4-8-5) Pays $39.83


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Penetrator 10.00 6.63 18.20 9.40 5.60
2 Master of Arms 5.00 1.01 5.40 4.00
5 Vobiscum 4.50 9.00 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $53.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-5) Pays $211.25
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-5-1) Pays $163.24


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Uncle Ray 5.00 4.28 17.00 6.00 3.40
9 Golden Bandit 1.60 3.80 3.40 2.60
1 King Doodle 3.00 3.52 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (10-9) Pays $31.40
$0.50 Trifecta (10-9-1) Pays $60.50
$0.10 Superfecta (10-9-1-4) Pays $110.26


RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Coastal Charm 3.50 4.34 18.40 5.60 4.00
9 Let’s Duet 1.40 1.13 2.40 2.10
7 Brittle and Yoo 4.50 1.00 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-9) Pays $16.60
$0.50 Trifecta (5-9-7) Pays $35.65
$0.10 Superfecta (5-9-7-8) Pays $32.08


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Silk Trade 3.50 1.00 7.20 3.60 2.80
8 Red Knobs 2.00 2.02 2.60 2.20
9 Silver Dust 4.50 2.50 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-8) Pays $8.90
$0.50 Trifecta (4-8-9) Pays $12.65
$0.10 Superfecta (4-8-9-6) Pays $11.32


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Conspiracy Fact 10.00 5.30 17.60 6.40 5.00
9 Quick to Blame 5.00 1.00 4.00 3.00
4 Midnight Majesty 3.50 4.47 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-9) Pays $26.10
$0.50 Trifecta (10-9-4) Pays $88.50
$0.10 Superfecta (10-9-4-11) Pays $44.93


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Edge to Edge 3.00 2.40 4.00 2.40 0.00
4 C Z Rocket 1.40 1.00 2.60 0.00
1 Necker Island 3.50 1.97 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-4) Pays $5.30
$0.50 Trifecta (Refund) Pays $1.00
$0.10 Superfecta (Refund) Pays $1.00


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Chupapi Munyayo 3.00 3.52 7.20 3.80 3.20
7 Ike Wazowski 12.00 10.83 8.00 6.00
11 Rudiano 50.00 5.64 23.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $26.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-11) Pays $955.15
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-11-12) Pays $935.17


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.