Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Avant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Amy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Undoubtedly | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promiseher America | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Grotte | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Welcometomyworld | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon’s Hope | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got the Gold | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland Blues | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Beat Me | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misbehaved | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B C Glory Days | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ava K’s Boy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Workout | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior in Chief | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Realm | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jumpster | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kumar | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scotty | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Lincoln | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Karen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tara’s Talent | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trade Secret | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Dancer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Native | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Full Moon Fever | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Ouster | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Overstep | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Baldizar | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hush of a Storm | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whittington Park | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | The Cobbler | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Colloquy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Mandatory | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Major Spin | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Achilles Heel | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Legendary Lore | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Batter Up Bud | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Norgay | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Open Til Midnight | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Salute to America | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tonal Impact | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gasoline | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Win the Day | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Locally Owned | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naval Aviator | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Better | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amatteroftime | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maddie May S.) – Maddie May S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Les Bon Temps | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’mhavingamoment | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetest Princess | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starry Midnight | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Loca | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Sugar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carbon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timed Out | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Devil | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New York Supreme | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicca Wisdom | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bravo Regina | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ricelle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Duper Fly | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.