Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gagliano | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Girl Faith | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infringement | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Sugar | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Colors | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reigning Chick | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bankers Daughter | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Empress | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duckphat | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Theory | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devilly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Raffinity | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poncho Song | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rhubarb Martini | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Synonymous | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carly Hustle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Play | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Win for Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jokemeister | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jelly Nougat | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charger | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catching Cupid | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fenway | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holey Matrimony | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clover Street | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northway | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Accelebrate | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tumbles | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bushwick | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan’s Bond | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandulu Queen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Haynesfield S.) – Haynesfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr Ardito | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bankit | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Foam | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Moon Fever | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Burn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Calling | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chestertown | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lobsta | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Coach | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Kumbalay | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Please Be Nice | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looms Boldly | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Bro | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby the Tank | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold in Them Hills | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz Palace | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Banker | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macdonough | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.