Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Hey Jackson 3.00 1.00 5.00 3.20 2.80
7 War Rascal 4.00 7.09 4.80 3.80
3 Arkansas Zong 6.00 3.25 7.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $11.10
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-3) Pays $52.55
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-3-9) Pays $164.01


RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Gimme Candy 2.50 5.03 7.00 3.00 2.40
8 Dianna’s Jet 3.50 1.00 2.40 2.10
3 Frosted Diamond 5.00 3.11 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-8) Pays $7.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-8-3) Pays $13.70
$0.10 Superfecta (1-8-3-5) Pays $10.57


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Lucky Deal 4.00 2.14 6.20 3.40 2.20
8 Bailey’s Charm 5.00 3.91 3.00 2.20
1 Smiling Angel 3.00 1.00 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-8) Pays $7.80
$0.50 Trifecta (3-8-1) Pays $6.95
$0.10 Superfecta (3-8-1-4) Pays $5.44


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Full Power 6.00 2.95 9.40 5.40 2.60
6 Silky’s Dance 6.00 4.79 11.40 4.20
9 Tenor 2.50 1.00 2.10
4 Oga Bear 3.50 2.21 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $37.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-6-4) Pays $66.70
$0.10 Superfecta (1-6-4-9) Pays $42.16


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Holding Fast 4.50 1.00 5.60 3.00 2.60
9 Customize My Quest 8.00 8.73 10.80 7.00
2 Croque Monsieur (GB) 4.50 8.65 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-9) Pays $19.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-9-2) Pays $73.00
$0.10 Superfecta (6-9-2-4) Pays $32.96


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Addi Bug 2.50 3.10 7.60 4.00 2.60
9 Louisiana Liberty 6.00 2.27 3.80 3.40
6 Dixie Farmer 3.50 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-9) Pays $19.60
$0.50 Trifecta (1-9-6) Pays $40.15
$0.10 Superfecta (1-9-6-7) Pays $32.54


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Jacks Run Wild 4.50 4.32 3.20 3.40 2.80
6 Suzy Doll’s Ready 6.00 2.82 5.40 4.80 3.80
2 Crypto Brave 8.00 2.05 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $7.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-2) Pays $29.15
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-2-3) Pays $48.00


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Lord Captain 1.80 3.61 4.20 3.60 2.60
8 Stomping Hotrod 20.00 3.57 18.00 18.20
2 Motataabeq 4.50 2.07 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (9-8) Pays $39.80
$0.50 Trifecta (9-8-2) Pays $154.95
$0.10 Superfecta (9-8-2-7) Pays $104.03


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Eurobeliever 2.50 1.00 2.60 2.10 2.10
1 Midnight Hunter 6.00 5.14 9.20 4.80
5 G E H Giants Way 4.00 2.98 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $8.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-5) Pays $16.25
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-5-6) Pays $22.58


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.