Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tonight We Love 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Frosty Invasion 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Treat Street 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Menily 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Virtual Beauty 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hail Britannia 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lafitte’s Fleet 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Thinkaboutit 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Prisoner 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jemography 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Nuclear Option 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Alcools 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trevor Bardette 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 The Great Gazoo 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Reunion Tour 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Iron Horizon 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Tyrannosaurus Rex 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mr. Busta 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Noah’s Destiny 20.00 7 13-1
The Great Gazoo 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Viradia 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Greatest Love 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Tilsa 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Prairie Fire 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Wait a Minute 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Icy Reply 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Exfiltration 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Banker 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aperol Spritz 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Ukrainian Princess 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Berning Honor 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Joeybignose 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Forallthegirls 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Reign of Thunder 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Casalsa 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Winning Drive 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Charlie Five O 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Prince James 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Marvin 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Forever Wicked 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Standup 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Truculent 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cool Quartet 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Vintage Hollywood 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 My Friends Beer 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Daddy Knows 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Crypto Cash 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Microscope 10.00 7 13-1
Daddy Knows 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Curbstone 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Good Skate 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Bold Victory 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Timbuktu 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mailman’s a Flyer 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Union Lights 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Victory Money 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gem Mint Ten 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Engineer Empire 5.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Wanna Winna 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Tunnel Vision 10.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Dudley Dickerson 10.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Scaramanga 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Morethanafeeling 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lucky Lucky Luke 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Volcker Rules 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Amman 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Awesome Force 30.00 8 15-1
6 6 In My Shadow 50.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.