Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Miss Lonelyhearts 5.00 1.97 21.80 5.00 2.60
1 Lily’s Creed 1.40 1.00 2.10 2.10
2 She’s My Louie V. 4.00 1.29 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $21.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-2) Pays $26.95
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-2-7) Pays $11.44


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Moody Rafaela 15.00 3.29 8.80 6.20 4.20
8 Tenpins Tempest 20.00 8.80 42.80 13.20
3 Boston Belle 4.50 1.00 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (10-8) Pays $199.40
$0.50 Trifecta (10-8-3) Pays $433.95
$0.10 Superfecta (10-8-3-6) Pays $469.42


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 R T’s Gem 4.00 1.16 8.80 3.60 2.80
8 Moonlightmaddy 3.00 1.00 3.20 2.60
4 Taking Pictures 5.00 1.48 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-8) Pays $15.80
$0.50 Trifecta (5-8-4) Pays $21.45
$0.10 Superfecta (5-8-4-6) Pays $20.90


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Outlaw X. 6.00 5.38 10.20 5.00 3.60
2 Mias Moonbeam 3.00 4.57 5.00 3.20
5 Holy Emperor 4.00 6.44 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-2) Pays $26.10
$0.50 Trifecta (7-2-5) Pays $53.70
$0.10 Superfecta (7-2-5-3) Pays $61.01


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 All of Us 15.00 7.40 58.60 21.40 8.60
7 Country Cat Jake 5.00 3.19 6.80 4.00
2 Run Carlos 3.00 4.22 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $286.30
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-2) Pays $682.85
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-2-9) Pays $439.60


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Medway Queen 20.00 3.76 13.00 8.20 6.40
9 Us Second Cute Pie 6.00 6.29 8.20 6.00
7 Who Dat Grey 15.00 6.59 18.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-9) Pays $56.00
$0.50 Trifecta (1-9-7) Pays $773.45
$0.10 Superfecta (1-9-7-3) Pays $876.91


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Mo Vodka 5.00 1.74 3.20 2.40 2.40
1 Dark Matter 4.00 4.15 6.60 4.00
8 Unbridled Pulpit 5.00 5.12 9.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-1) Pays $9.30
$0.50 Trifecta (2-1-8) Pays $46.95
$0.10 Superfecta (2-1-8-6) Pays $72.55


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Cheerfor Mshawish 4.00 1.00 4.60 3.20 2.60
4 Mo Credo 10.00 6.05 6.60 4.60
7 Theo d’Or 10.00 3.22 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-4) Pays $16.80
$0.50 Trifecta (8-4-7) Pays $39.75
$0.10 Superfecta (8-4-7-5) Pays $65.51


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Johnnysjourney 4.50 5.07 8.40 5.40 4.40
8 My Book 8.00 7.66 7.60 5.00
1 Sournois 15.00 7.34 8.60

$1.00 Exacta (9-8) Pays $46.60
$0.50 Trifecta (9-8-1) Pays $279.80
$0.10 Superfecta (9-8-1-2) Pays $267.70


RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Hyperbolist 3.50 5.59 5.60 2.40 2.10
6 Search Engine 2.00 4.31 2.10 2.10
7 Royal Consort 4.50 1.00 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-6) Pays $5.00
$0.50 Trifecta (8-6-7) Pays $18.15
$0.10 Superfecta (8-6-7-1) Pays $10.88


RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Talk to Tokey 2.50 1.00 2.40 2.10 2.20
5 Byathread 5.00 6.28 4.20 2.80
9 Hindostain Falls 12.00 7.89 6.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $7.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-9) Pays $37.60
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-9-10) Pays $19.77


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.