Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Time Gem | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sermononthemount | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tio Blas | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Color Fast | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Landofthepharaohs | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Gray Blur | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coach Kenny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zion | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Again | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binding Agreement | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Merritt | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Brew | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Marvin | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gluckstadt | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Klimtomaniac | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Rocky | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afternoon Anejo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madison Luvs Duke | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Lover | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not On Herb | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two B | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | George Allen | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron in the Fire | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helaire | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Diamond | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gigablast | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G’s Squeeze | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wupkar | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Marie | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sumitup | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Smiles | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seriously Sam | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Feme Jolie | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See Sassy Run | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monjid | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escapologist | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caroom | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McGolden | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solomon Vandy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Axe | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Time At All | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Civilrightslegend | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Generous Lover | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Army Kitten | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandra D | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin Serenade | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | L J’s Emma | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Going the Distance | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Princess Says | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Arlington | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Art Deco | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| L J’s Emma | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ronalds Gatsby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tsuris | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tucker the Grump | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brother Jeff | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infinitesimal | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine Your Biz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Pierre | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eliezer | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Henny’s Turn | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astrology Wonowon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lit a Shuck | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| Infinitesimal | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.