Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bankroll 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Inthealy 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Herewecometogetyou 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Heartthrob Halo 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sir Pokerface 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Nocomet 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dude Drop Kid 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 J B Gray 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Courtman 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Putthehammerdown 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Couyons Cause 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Lone Star Max 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Steauxlit 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Inspector Ed 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Racy Bille 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 F T W Slam 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Midnight Crown 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Main Dude 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Starport 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Apriority Rocket 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 C Falls 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Microphone (IRE) 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Maasai Warrior 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Monarch Man 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Courageously 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Solid Country Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Arabian Prince 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Unleash the Power 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mageez 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Meditate 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Hot Le Roy 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Luckenbacher 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Imindycatbirdseat 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Payday Too 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Gallant Star 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Unwanted Intruder 8.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 C’Mon Ve 10.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Pray Ide Sing 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Social Afleet 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cash Logistics 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Zozos 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Olliemyboy 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Five Star General 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mailman Money 2.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Rightandjust 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo Shiro 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Flowerdew 3.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Gypsy Queen 4.50 7.3 14-1
14 14 Stay Lost 5.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Magnificent Code 4.50 7.7 15-1
13 13 Lure’em In 12.00 8 15-1
6 6 Prize Debate 10.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Salsalita Verde 6.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Summerosa 10.00 11.1 21-1
15 15 Jayla 8.00 11.4 22-1
10 10 Clever Joke 3.50 12.4 23-1
12 12 Lady Dynamo 8.00 12.4 23-1
2 2 Smart Izzy 20.00 14 26-1
11 11 Ju Ju Vip 12.00 14.8 28-1
9 9 Acting 8.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Squire Creek 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gun Collector 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Wicked Again 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Billy Jack 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Rush Center 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Wild Thinker 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 River Raft 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Chitwood 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Julia’s Warrior 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 No Take Backs 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Debbies Passage 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 A. K. A. Grams 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Half Koo Koo 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Theboyzgalaxy 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Enduring Peace 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Kasen’s Sister 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Peaceful Vision 4.50 7.9 15-1
6 6 Kick N Kiss 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Point of Victory 10.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Silk Shaker 15.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Candy’s Pride 30.00 11.4 22-1
4 4 Blondie Lox Babe 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.