Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Back Beat 1.60 5.34 6.20 3.40 2.80
1 Crystal Crescent 6.00 5.79 5.80 4.20
3 Botany 12.00 6.51 5.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-1) Pays $16.90
$0.50 Trifecta (2-1-3) Pays $56.00
$0.10 Superfecta (2-1-3-5) Pays $49.88


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Promising Shoes 10.00 6.68 20.80 8.80 5.00
5 Obviously Too 15.00 6.69 16.00 7.20
9 Holding Pattern 4.50 4.98 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $163.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-9) Pays $343.80
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-9-10) Pays $180.48


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Biogenic Babe 1.60 1.00 5.00 3.00 2.40
5 Stay Fabulous 10.00 3.39 11.40 4.00
2 Collected Glory 3.00 2.03 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $28.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-2) Pays $35.60
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-2-6) Pays $29.81


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Yacht Rock (IRE) 1.60 1.00 4.00 3.00 2.80
7 Uptown Hustler 20.00 6.62 11.60 6.80
1 Morning Drive 30.00 5.24 8.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $20.90
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-1) Pays $167.05
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-1-6) Pays $259.78


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Deputy Connect 2.00 1.26 10.20 6.00 2.80
7 Andy Cant 3.00 1.00 5.20 2.60
1 Mount Craig 3.50 1.93 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-7) Pays $20.60
$0.50 Trifecta (8-7-1) Pays $26.85
$0.10 Superfecta (8-7-1-6) Pays $31.98


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Royal Spa 2.50 5.73 3.80 2.80 2.20
7 Unifying 3.00 3.16 3.60 2.20
2 Secret Statement 8.00 5.88 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-7) Pays $6.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-7-2) Pays $9.45
$0.10 Superfecta (1-7-2-3) Pays $9.23


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Go Go Go 8.00 3.38 16.00 7.80 5.60
5 The X Factor 12.00 4.26 7.60 3.40
2 Tenzing 30.00 7.73 10.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $53.50
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-2) Pays $569.30
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-2-8) Pays $727.46


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Dealing Justice 8.00 5.18 17.20 6.40 3.60
4 Headland 15.00 7.00 14.40 7.60
2 American Lily 3.00 1.00 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $80.30
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-2) Pays $206.00
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-2-6) Pays $173.23


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Polterer 8.00 3.44 6.40 4.20 3.20
11 Ego 3.50 1.76 4.80 3.20
2 First Line 4.00 4.16 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-11) Pays $20.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-11-2) Pays $33.45
$0.10 Superfecta (1-11-2-10) Pays $62.50


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.