Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Express | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Star | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incantation | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonker Warrior | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connect the Brocks | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear’s Correct | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Spin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Ghostlyprince | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Cheeky Tico | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Jet Speed | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | John’s Protege | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semper Fidelis | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Moonshiningbright | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Opportunity Set | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Ways | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D Hopper | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battuta d’Oro | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Predicted | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Capella | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stone Creator | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Street | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shinfull | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caramocha | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curly Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Fuligni | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Caiarossa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bustinroxy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Aeron Warrior | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Magnolia Wind | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mrs Bell | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Follow the Fed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | My Gorgeous | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Four Quartz | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Howzyourcashflow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlins Choir | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace and Charm | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lockbox | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sicilian Grandma | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Be Famous | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Shylock | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ruvies in Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backed by Gold | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diva Banker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Early Edition | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Stones | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin a Yarn | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patria | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quick Tempo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heir Port | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpmaster | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | F F Rocket | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zertz | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dee Bo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gandy Dancing | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Striking Speed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnightcharly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Pride | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.