Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Despite Odds 1.60 2.43 4.60 2.80 2.10
6 Jebster 4.00 2.21 3.80 2.10
5 Superstitieux 3.50 1.00 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (4-6) Pays $7.90
$0.50 Trifecta (4-6-5) Pays $4.70
$0.10 Superfecta (4-6-5-2) Pays $1.13


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Antipoison 3.50 3.39 10.00 4.60 2.60
5 Pepe and Heywood 4.00 3.26 6.20 3.20
3 Honor the Fleet 2.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $35.00
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-3) Pays $42.60
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-3-4) Pays $18.28


RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Italian Dressing 8.00 4.96 22.20 5.40 3.60
4 Spicy Margarita 1.80 1.00 2.40 2.10
6 Tam Char 10.00 4.80 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $29.00
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-6) Pays $65.35
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-6-3) Pays $36.54


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Crimson 2.00 6.91 8.00 4.60 2.40
1 Brooklyn Girl 8.00 2.76 5.00 3.40
3 Solving Progress 8.00 7.00 7.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $32.00
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-3) Pays $91.40
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-3-7) Pays $58.73


RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Liquidator 4.50 1.34 12.00 3.60 2.60
7 Happy Clouds 2.50 1.00 2.60 2.20
2 Unified Alliance 2.00 1.34 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $11.60
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-2) Pays $16.10
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-2-1) Pays $8.63


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 A Girl Named Jac 3.50 1.79 5.80 4.00 2.40
6 That’s Some Kiss 4.00 4.24 3.20 2.20
5 La Familia 12.00 3.74 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $10.60
$0.50 Trifecta (1-6-5) Pays $18.75
$0.10 Superfecta (1-6-5-4) Pays $7.99


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Icestorming 12.00 2.36 11.80 4.60 3.20
6 Naughty Nan 3.00 1.49 3.60 2.80
8 Aunt Berra 3.50 1.69 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $20.90
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-8) Pays $57.30
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-8-9) Pays $34.19


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Irish Cork 2.50 2.04 6.60 4.80 2.40
2 Excellorator 4.50 2.11 3.00 2.10
6 Torch of Truth 1.80 2.79 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (5-2) Pays $13.00
$0.50 Trifecta (5-2-6) Pays $14.30
$0.10 Superfecta (5-2-6-3) Pays $7.72


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Bonded 3.50 2.70 6.80 3.20 3.00
6 Thtwasthenthisisnw 5.00 1.27 3.40 3.20
7 Smart and Fast 10.00 7.00 7.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-6) Pays $11.00
$0.50 Trifecta (3-6-7) Pays $32.35
$0.10 Superfecta (3-6-7-5) Pays $25.05


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.