Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Liam’s Champ | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Pitch Clock | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Gifted | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Accel Rose | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Tryinmyheartout | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Nobleandgreenough | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Treaty Obligation | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Victory Way | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Whenlovetakesover | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Billy’s Got Issues | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Gotta Connect | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Light the Way | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Good Rapport | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Milton the Monster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Uncle Moonlight | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Market Alert | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Famished | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Classier | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | American Gentleman | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Busher S.) – Busher S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Ziaerati | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Asset Purchase | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Capella | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Shidabhuti | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Check Engine Light | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | La Vita Sofia | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Advanced Strategy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Optic Way | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Jalen Journey | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Picasso | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | My Friends Beer | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Caerus | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Mount Travers | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
2 | 2 | It’s Mandatory | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Signal Corps | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Pop Coyer | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Woodside Warrior | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Forty One Tales | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Runandscore | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Russi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Makar | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Disarmed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Central Station | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 9 | Rotknee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 5 | Life Changer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 3 | Jake Rocks | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2B | 7 | Handsome Cat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 6 | Allaboutthemoney | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 4 | Trash Talker | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 1 | Ikigai | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
10 | 12 | Quickflash | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
1A | 8 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
1 | 2 | Winter Son | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
8 | 10 | Surprise Boss | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
9 | 11 | Pressure | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tom Fool H.) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Runninsonofagun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Nakatomi | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Eastern Bay | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Drafted | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Little Vic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Pirate Rick | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Chateau | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Wendell Fong | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Gotham S.) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 13 | Eyeing Clover | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
11 | 11 | Slip Mahoney | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
10 | 10 | Lugan Knight | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Carmel Road | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Howgreatisnate | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Mr. Swagger | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Uncorrelated | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
14 | 14 | Recruiter | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Fort Warren | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Transect | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Clubhouse | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | General Banker | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
12 | 12 | Raise Cain | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
1 | 1 | Clear the Air | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
15 | 15 | Radio Red | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Bourbon Ready | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Callaloo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Victorious Wave | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | King James | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
11 | 11 | Motion to Strike | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Pine Valley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Braciole | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
10 | 10 | Mach One | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
12 | 12 | Midnight Worker | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Buckingham Prince | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
9 | 9 | Per Diem | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
7 | 7 | Charlie Five O | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.