Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Demon Hunter | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forged in Steel | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R T’s d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ole Stud Muffin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Alliance | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zydeco Music | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shades of Truth | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ourperfectprincess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myfriendsawinner | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commercial Flash | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Year’s Party | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Red Camelia S.) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A G’s Charlotte | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World War | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Romance | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Like a Girl | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheapskate Diva | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Polk | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wholelottamo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eve’s Delight | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Anna | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classic King | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ottothelegend | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paynt Battle | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapage | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokey Harbor | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Wise | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vim and Vigor | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beleout | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Day | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Change | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shelley’s Money | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donya Know It | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rookery | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Who Took the Money | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Budro Talking | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mangelsen | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Chopper | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highland Creek | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Cheese | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maga Man | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Rose | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Alex | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Changi | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dual Monarchy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Pranks | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Bull | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rule Breaker | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Presider | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gatlinburg | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bo Cruz | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Black Gold S.) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reckoning Force | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winters Lion | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andthewinneris | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Desert Duke | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myredwhiteandblue | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Donegal | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapio | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Bella Brown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lt. Bonura | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Vista | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steal It Back | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Priority | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rifle Man | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.