Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Smokin’ Jay 20.00 5.71 20.00 8.40 5.80
6 Agent Peter Graves 3.50 2.25 5.20 3.80
12 Mamba On Three 4.00 2.66 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (2-6) Pays $52.90
$0.50 Trifecta (2-6-12) Pays $145.30
$0.10 Superfecta (2-6-12-8) Pays $1,004.18


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Just Katherine 4.50 1.00 10.40 5.00 2.80
Just Katherine
6 Back to Gridlock 3.50 3.37 5.80 3.20
7 Image of Love 2.50 3.05 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $38.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-7) Pays $33.15
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-7-1) Pays $19.73


RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Up to the Mark 2.50 3.46 3.60 3.00 2.20
2 Olympic Runner 20.00 6.29 14.00 7.40
12 Smokin’ T 5.00 4.32 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-2) Pays $21.30
$0.50 Trifecta (1-2-12) Pays $73.90
$0.10 Superfecta (1-2-12-6) Pays $132.76


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Scotland 4.50 8.02 9.80 6.20 4.20
7 Let It Ride 12.00 8.82 7.60 5.40
9 Summonyourcourage 4.00 1.00 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-7) Pays $52.90
$0.50 Trifecta (5-7-9) Pays $81.10
$0.10 Superfecta (5-7-9-6) Pays $274.38


RACE NUMBER 5 (Colonel Liam S.) – Colonel Liam S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Dude N Colorado (GB) 3.00 1.00 5.60 3.40 2.40
4 Webslinger 8.00 2.33 3.60 2.40
1 Boppy O 6.00 4.13 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (9-4) Pays $13.10
$0.50 Trifecta (9-4-1) Pays $22.20
$0.10 Superfecta (9-4-1-2) Pays $15.66


RACE NUMBER 6 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Mylady (GER) 8.00 6.15 19.60 7.60 6.20
7 Higher Truth (IRE) 5.00 2.83 4.20 3.60
6 Transient (GB) 6.00 2.48 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $39.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-6) Pays $164.55
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-6-10) Pays $98.48


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 White Abarrio 1.20 1.00 4.40 3.20 2.20
6 Weyburn 4.00 5.51 6.20 3.60
7 Collaborate 15.00 6.08 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-6) Pays $13.40
$0.50 Trifecta (2-6-7) Pays $25.50
$0.10 Superfecta (2-6-7-9) Pays $19.98


RACE NUMBER 8 (Canadian Turf S.) – Canadian Turf S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Emmanuel 1.60 3.36 4.60 3.20 2.80
10 Steady On 6.00 4.06 5.00 3.60
4 Fort Washington 15.00 10.00 5.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-10) Pays $11.00
$0.50 Trifecta (3-10-4) Pays $44.15
$0.10 Superfecta (3-10-4-9) Pays $69.13


RACE NUMBER 9 (Herecomesthebride S.) – Herecomesthebride S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Danse Macabre 10.00 2.28 26.80 10.80 4.80
8 Papilio (IRE) 5.00 3.79 9.00 4.40
7 Cairo Consort 3.00 1.00 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (9-8) Pays $121.30
$0.50 Trifecta (9-8-7) Pays $131.00
$0.10 Superfecta (9-8-7-6) Pays $132.92


RACE NUMBER 10 (Winstar Gulfstream Park Mile S.) – Winstar Gulfstream Park Mile S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Endorsed 4.00 1.00 13.80 4.00 3.00
Endorsed
7 Charge It 0.80 1.17 2.60 2.10
4 Simplification 8.00 2.01 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $15.50
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-4) Pays $30.65
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-4-1) Pays $23.14


RACE NUMBER 11 (Honey Fox S.) – Honey Fox S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Faith in Humanity (FR) 5.00 9.17 12.00 5.40 4.60
4 White Frost 3.50 1.25 3.60 3.00
7 Princess Theorem 12.00 10.70 11.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $24.30
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-7) Pays $186.90
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-7-10) Pays $174.98


RACE NUMBER 12 (Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel Tv

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Dorth Vader 15.00 4.64 95.40 36.20 11.80
6 Guns n’ Graces 20.00 5.46 23.20 7.60
3 Red Carpet Ready 2.00 3.96 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (9-6) Pays $940.30
$0.50 Trifecta (9-6-3) Pays $1,674.15
$0.10 Superfecta (9-6-3-2) Pays $2,459.45


RACE NUMBER 13 (Mac Diarmida S.) – Mac Diarmida S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Value Engineering 6.00 1.85 13.40 7.60 5.00
Value Engineering
13 Marwad (GB) 10.00 3.26 6.40 4.60
2 Master Piece (CHI) 5.00 1.92 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-13) Pays $69.00
$0.50 Trifecta (10-13-2) Pays $167.30
$0.10 Superfecta (10-13-2-1) Pays $111.54


RACE NUMBER 14 (Fountain Of Youth S.) – Fountain Of Youth S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Forte 1.40 1.00 3.00 2.40 2.10
8 Rocket Can 8.00 5.78 4.40 3.40
9 Cyclone Mischief 12.00 3.87 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-8) Pays $8.50
$0.50 Trifecta (4-8-9) Pays $35.20
$0.10 Superfecta (4-8-9-7) Pays $33.66


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.