Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Acehigh Royal 3.50 1.00 8.80 3.80 2.60
7 Lamutanaatty 1.80 2.24 2.80 2.40
3 Schmooze 4.50 4.48 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-7) Pays $14.40
$0.50 Trifecta (2-7-3) Pays $23.30
$0.10 Superfecta (2-7-3-1) Pays $11.18


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Wobberjod 2.00 1.00 4.00 2.80 2.40
5 Firery Tale 8.00 2.73 5.40 3.40
1 Carl G 10.00 2.37 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $12.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-1) Pays $31.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-1-2) Pays $12.73


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Little Frappucino 2.00 3.14 7.60 4.20 2.60
4 Alpha Whiskey 8.00 2.55 6.00 3.80
2 Kentucky Bourbon 3.00 1.28 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $30.80
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-2) Pays $39.15
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-2-8) Pays $40.96


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Hoping for a Ring 15.00 3.45 15.40 7.40 4.60
4 Careless Heiress 3.50 3.80 5.80 4.20
2 Close to Me 12.00 4.62 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $41.10
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-2) Pays $77.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-2-1) Pays $51.17


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Jewelstown 20.00 7.10 43.80 21.20 13.00
5 Itwasthisbig 4.00 4.41 7.80 5.20
10 The Heights 8.00 6.43 6.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-5) Pays $157.90
$0.50 Trifecta (8-5-10) Pays $837.05
$0.10 Superfecta (8-5-10-9) Pays $3,263.09


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Let’s Duet 1.40 1.00 3.00 2.40 2.20
2 I Feel the Need 20.00 3.19 8.60 5.00
9 Too Pretty 12.00 3.39 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (8-2) Pays $14.40
$0.50 Trifecta (8-2-9) Pays $44.10
$0.10 Superfecta (8-2-9-1) Pays $28.59


RACE NUMBER 7 (Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.) – Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Summer Shoes 1.80 1.32 6.40 3.80 2.40
4 Kaboom Baby 4.00 3.50 4.60 2.60
6 Connie K 2.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-4) Pays $12.90
$0.50 Trifecta (8-4-6) Pays $13.60
$0.10 Superfecta (8-4-6-3) Pays $13.64


RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Full Charge 20.00 5.98 15.00 6.80 4.60
8 Decision Maker 5.00 3.53 4.40 2.80
1 Zoomer 8.00 1.33 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-8) Pays $30.60
$0.50 Trifecta (7-8-1) Pays $140.70
$0.10 Superfecta (7-8-1-4) Pays $77.63


RACE NUMBER 9 (Nodouble Breeders’ S.) – Nodouble Breeders’ S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Gar Hole 1.00 1.14 2.80 2.40 2.10
3 Twisted Dixie 15.00 4.49 9.00 4.20
2 Bandit Point 12.00 3.65 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-3) Pays $14.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-3-2) Pays $33.40
$0.10 Superfecta (7-3-2-5) Pays $21.05


RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
12 Tivy 4.00 1.00 8.40 4.60 3.40
Tivy
3 My Uncle Leon 15.00 3.44 8.40 4.80
10 Bold d’Oro 2.50 1.96 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (12-3) Pays $44.70
$0.50 Trifecta (12-3-10) Pays $88.20
$0.10 Superfecta (12-3-10-1) Pays $108.19


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.