Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Conclude 2.50 1.00 3.60 3.20 2.20
11 Fleet Feet 8.00 3.04 10.00 5.40
2 Single Track Mind (IRE) 6.00 2.95 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-11) Pays $21.30
$0.50 Trifecta (5-11-2) Pays $39.80
$0.10 Superfecta (5-11-2-6) Pays $43.36


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Unwritten Code 3.00 1.00 3.80 3.40 2.80
2 Everlys Girl 10.00 5.34 8.40 4.60
6 Charlotte Harbor 2.50 6.35 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-2) Pays $12.70
$0.50 Trifecta (1-2-6) Pays $53.35
$0.10 Superfecta (1-2-6-3) Pays $32.08


RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 King Apollo 3.00 1.00 6.00 3.20 2.80
1 Cherubic Factor 2.50 1.28 3.00 2.40
8 Brutto 6.00 3.48 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $8.10
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-8) Pays $17.05
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-8-3) Pays $27.56


RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Kangaroo Court 1.80 2.45 5.00 2.40 2.10
3 Bus Buzz 1.20 3.19 2.40 2.10
1 Devil Among Us 4.00 1.00 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-3) Pays $4.10
$0.50 Trifecta (4-3-1) Pays $4.15
$0.10 Superfecta (4-3-1-7) Pays $1.79


RACE NUMBER 5 (Buena Vista S.) – Buena Vista S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Quattroelle (IRE) 3.00 1.53 8.60 4.40 3.00
2 Macadamia (BRZ) 6.00 2.03 4.60 3.00
1 Closing Remarks 3.50 2.23 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-2) Pays $19.50
$0.50 Trifecta (6-2-1) Pays $36.30
$0.10 Superfecta (6-2-1-5) Pays $21.85


RACE NUMBER 6 (San Felipe S.) – San Felipe S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Practical Move 4.00 1.00 10.40 5.20 3.20
8 Geaux Rocket Ride 5.00 2.45 5.00 3.20
10 Skinner 5.00 4.06 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-8) Pays $26.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-8-10) Pays $36.00
$0.10 Superfecta (3-8-10-7) Pays $15.16


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Cash Equity (FR) 3.00 1.00 8.20 5.20 3.80
5 Tarantino 10.00 2.62 18.20 10.00
1 Flashiest 8.00 3.79 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $57.30
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-1) Pays $153.85
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-1-4) Pays $212.00


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Mendez Mile 12.00 7.72 54.60 19.60 12.00
9 Snapp Daddy 3.50 1.00 3.40 2.60
11 Pacific States 3.50 1.26 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (5-9) Pays $129.60
$0.50 Trifecta (5-9-11) Pays $214.80
$0.10 Superfecta (5-9-11-1) Pays $248.11


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Honey Jar 3.00 1.00 5.40 3.20 2.40
1 Runninwiththeboyz 5.00 2.14 6.00 3.60
4 Carmen Miranda 4.00 1.76 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $12.80
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-4) Pays $18.70
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-4-3) Pays $21.84


RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Joe Don Looney 12.00 4.55 10.20 5.00 3.40
3 Manitowish 3.50 1.00 3.40 2.80
8 High Heater 4.00 3.73 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-3) Pays $13.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-3-8) Pays $40.60
$0.10 Superfecta (2-3-8-6) Pays $28.49


RACE NUMBER 11 (Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 12.00 2.67 23.60 9.60 6.40
7 Du Jour 10.00 3.14 10.00 7.00
2 Cabo Spirit 12.00 3.08 14.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-7) Pays $139.00
$0.50 Trifecta (1-7-2) Pays $939.55
$0.10 Superfecta (1-7-2-6) Pays $647.58


RACE NUMBER 12 (Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Stilleto Boy 5.00 5.34 29.80 11.00 4.40
11 Proxy 4.00 5.58 4.60 2.60
5 Defunded 3.50 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-11) Pays $64.80
$0.50 Trifecta (4-11-5) Pays $79.65
$0.10 Superfecta (4-11-5-8) Pays $81.44


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.