Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bosshog Them Dukes 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kidyounot 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Max Pandowdy 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Okudah 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Valiant Defender 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 F J’s Gem 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Aniclude 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beautifulandwild 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Zeerock 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Magical Stardust 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pseudoscience 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Lake Runner 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Meg and Clair 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 I Dont Know Either 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Star’s Dream 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chrome Racer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Frosty Diva 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Lady Luna 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Markswoman 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Catherine Blaze 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ziggzappa 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Afleet Charlene 20.00 4.6 9-1
Chrome Racer 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ballinonabudjet 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Wise Verdict 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Silver Galaxy 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Unanimously 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bayou Jam 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Like Mike 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fearless Kristie 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Montana Rose 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Goodbye Kyle 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Zippin Pippin 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Hammerdonhappiness 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Divina Dulce 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ova Charged 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Swot Analysis 1.40 2.6 5-1
1 1 Father Goose 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Mike J 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fiesty Fist 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Langs Day 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Wise Anchor 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Flashy Premo 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Emerald Forest 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 My Pal Mattie 2.50 1.9 3-1
4 4 Mister Mmmmm 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Twirling Roses 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Spectrolite 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Robo 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Sign of War 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Sierra Hotel 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blackteca 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gtuone Buck 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Call Me Collect 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ourquickdrawmcgraw 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Chiefweave 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Chrompton 4.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Reverent 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Blue Ridge Red 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.