Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Empire Attraction 2.00 1.00 4.00 2.80 2.20
6 Playero 6.00 3.96 12.40 6.80
9 Ember 4.50 2.59 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-6) Pays $30.40
$0.50 Trifecta (2-6-9) Pays $85.90
$0.10 Superfecta (2-6-9-1) Pays $57.75


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Hexagon 12.00 8.00 10.20 5.40 3.60
3 Catatumbo Lightnin 3.00 3.69 4.60 3.60
4 Natural Vibes 4.00 1.52 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-3) Pays $30.10
$0.50 Trifecta (7-3-4) Pays $46.35
$0.10 Superfecta (7-3-4-6) Pays $29.60


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Bullet On Tap 3.00 1.07 6.60 4.40 3.00
3 She’s Outta Here 12.00 3.14 8.40 4.00
7 Ransoms Reward 2.50 2.05 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $24.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-7) Pays $42.25
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-7-6) Pays $23.52


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
13 My Sweet Affair 3.50 8.02 5.80 4.40 3.60
4 Oolong Hai (IRE) 8.00 1.00 7.40 4.60
5 Chloe’s Toy 15.00 4.81 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (13-4) Pays $31.60
$0.50 Trifecta (13-4-5) Pays $136.25
$0.10 Superfecta (13-4-5-7) Pays $495.35


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Your Inheritance 1.40 6.00 3.20 2.60 2.10
5 Elusive Molly 3.50 1.00 3.60 2.20
6 Simplify (ARG) 5.00 4.83 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $5.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-6) Pays $6.60
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-6-3) Pays $4.72


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Bravo Kitten 6.00 1.27 13.20 6.80 4.60
1 Peace Seeker 12.00 4.32 18.40 11.80
9 Siempre Elegante 30.00 9.00 17.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $141.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-9) Pays $1,098.30
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-9-8) Pays $1,815.11


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Valiant Miss 4.00 1.00 11.40 5.20 4.00
5 Show Me Love 10.00 2.44 17.40 7.00
4 Broadway Charm 4.00 5.42 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $76.50
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-4) Pays $171.80
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-4-8) Pays $236.92


RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Nerves of Steel 20.00 3.47 12.00 6.00 4.60
12 Tiz Romantic 10.00 3.43 10.40 6.20
7 Doctor Ron 4.00 1.00 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-12) Pays $61.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-12-7) Pays $204.15
$0.10 Superfecta (1-12-7-9) Pays $377.54


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Winning Factor 3.50 1.53 11.60 5.60 4.20
6 Dazzling Truths 12.00 6.66 9.40 6.20
11 Perfect Cut 15.00 7.35 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-6) Pays $71.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-6-11) Pays $301.80
$0.10 Superfecta (3-6-11-10) Pays $270.83


RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Howe Street 4.00 6.79 7.80 6.00 4.80
3 Patou Road 6.00 10.48 12.40 8.80
12 Meyer 10.00 4.12 6.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-3) Pays $65.00
$0.50 Trifecta (8-3-12) Pays $333.75
$0.10 Superfecta (8-3-12-10) Pays $282.79


RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Queen Picasso (GB) 6.00 9.49 16.80 7.60 5.00
Queen Picasso (GB)
5 Soviet Excess 5.00 1.98 6.80 5.00
2 Highland Grace 8.00 2.38 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $61.50
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-2) Pays $136.00
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-2-3) Pays $100.10


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.