Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Backstreet Affair 3.00 1.51 6.20 3.00 2.60
3 Classic Lynne 3.50 1.00 2.80 2.40
5 Camelia Rod 4.50 2.75 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (7-3) Pays $9.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-3-5) Pays $20.80
$0.10 Superfecta (7-3-5-4) Pays $7.56


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Dialing Dixie 3.00 1.87 5.80 3.40 2.10
6 Dr. Rusty Raymond 12.00 3.72 8.80 3.20
4 Bernie’s On Fire 1.00 1.00 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (2-6) Pays $17.80
$0.50 Trifecta (2-6-4) Pays $16.50
$0.10 Superfecta (2-6-4-5) Pays $10.08


RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Pit Stop Man 2.50 1.00 5.00 3.00 2.10
1 Ladneedsahandler 6.00 1.63 5.40 2.20
7 Free Square 3.00 3.45 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $11.40
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-7) Pays $8.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-7-4) Pays $2.68


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Gabriel’s Wing 2.50 1.25 10.60 3.80 3.20
5 Lord Uhtred 2.00 1.00 2.60 2.40
4 Rascally Rebel 15.00 7.00 7.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $11.80
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-4) Pays $73.70
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-4-1) Pays $107.03


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Pelota 4.50 4.62 7.20 3.80 3.00
7 Heads Or Tails 3.50 1.00 4.20 2.80
2 Sutton Valley 12.00 5.72 7.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-7) Pays $17.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-7-2) Pays $89.85
$0.10 Superfecta (3-7-2-1) Pays $149.40


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Lady Jean 4.00 2.36 10.40 4.00 4.00
2 Behind the Couch 2.50 1.00 2.80 3.40
7 Funnybet 10.00 5.11 6.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-2) Pays $14.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-2-7) Pays $33.15
$0.10 Superfecta (6-2-7-4) Pays $17.12


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Top Boss 3.00 1.24 7.00 3.80 3.00
1 B B Bad 4.00 1.45 5.60 3.60
5 Magic Mule 3.00 3.26 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-1) Pays $16.20
$0.50 Trifecta (7-1-5) Pays $18.30
$0.10 Superfecta (7-1-5-6) Pays $15.45


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Grass Cutter 3.50 3.34 9.20 5.40 2.60
4 Gold Digging Broad 2.00 1.58 3.00 2.10
1 Arrogates Dream 1.80 1.00 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $18.80
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-1) Pays $17.40
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-1-3) Pays $22.11


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.