Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Buzz of New York (IRE) 1.20 1.00 2.60 2.10 2.10
1 Warrens Candy Girl 2.50 2.65 3.00 2.20
3 Gold for Kitten 8.00 1.62 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-1) Pays $2.90
$0.50 Trifecta (2-1-3) Pays $3.75
$0.10 Superfecta (2-1-3-4) Pays $1.97


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Left Hand Man 4.00 2.43 16.80 5.00 2.40
7 Austonian 3.00 3.96 3.20 2.10
2 Montana 2.50 1.00 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (3-7) Pays $20.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-7-2) Pays $15.25
$0.10 Superfecta (3-7-2-5) Pays $10.91


RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Ysabel S.) – Santa Ysabel S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Faiza 1.60 1.00 3.60 2.80 2.10
2 And Tell Me Nolies 3.00 2.21 5.00 3.20
3 Blessed Touch 8.00 3.71 4.40
Blessed Touch

$1.00 Exacta (6-2) Pays $8.80
$0.50 Trifecta (6-2-3) Pays $16.40
$0.10 Superfecta (6-2-3-5) Pays $6.69


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Moonlite in Heaven 2.00 3.49 8.00 3.40 3.00
1 Sugar Sugar 2.00 1.00 2.80 2.40
2 Hot Rod Mama 20.00 5.55 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $18.10
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-2) Pays $33.40
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-2-4) Pays $20.30


RACE NUMBER 5 (San Simeon S.) – San Simeon S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Motorious (GB) 2.50 1.00 5.00 3.20 2.20
7 Anarchist 15.00 3.52 8.20 4.20
1 Brickyard Ride 2.00 1.76 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-7) Pays $25.20
$0.50 Trifecta (5-7-1) Pays $47.45
$0.10 Superfecta (5-7-1-4) Pays $42.20


RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Cliquish 1.60 1.75 4.40 2.80 2.20
1 Anybody’s Choice 4.00 1.00 4.20 3.00
7 Irresistible Force 8.00 2.94 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $9.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-7) Pays $27.20
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-7-6) Pays $13.38


RACE NUMBER 7 (Baffle S.) – Baffle S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Johannes 4.00 4.14 5.00 3.20 2.80
4 Wizard of Westwood 15.00 2.25 17.80 8.80
8 Helladic 8.00 4.18 5.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $28.80
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-8) Pays $124.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-8-9) Pays $133.29


RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Handsome Gary 5.00 4.83 21.20 8.00 5.40
Handsome Gary
4 Let’s Rejoyce 3.50 1.15 4.60 3.20
9 Italiano 4.00 1.84 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $69.50
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-9) Pays $150.90
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-9-2) Pays $71.67


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Noble Reflection 12.00 3.28 77.80 24.00 12.20
1 Doitforandrew (GB) 3.50 1.00 3.80 2.80
2 Forgiving Spirit 4.00 2.43 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-1) Pays $134.50
$0.50 Trifecta (10-1-2) Pays $292.10
$0.10 Superfecta (10-1-2-6) Pays $255.18


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.