Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Veterans Day | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Season | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Dane | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn’s So Flashy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apriority Avenger | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Me a Chrysler | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Trouble | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plemmonston | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overthought | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arctic Rose | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Lex | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keys Included | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freightrainfreeman | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muscadine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Surprise | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xietelehuas | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Total Malice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Beast | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy’s Parade | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quinn Murphy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Izeonpoint | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roya | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Mission | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel of Verdun | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kings Wager | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Trolley | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northernreflection | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizspelt | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gildersleeve | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Strike | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lifeasweknowit | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Deal | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cigar Van | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Viola Star | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Start Well | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovers Never Say | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fuhr Meo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trinity Hope | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean American | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Kennedy | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sky High Susan | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Czar’s Ballerina | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quality | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Toll | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Transparency | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Palace | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soultitlesready | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiki Krazy | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Am Up | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Audaciousness | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Destine to Race | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Golden View | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom Erin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thisoneisforyou | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Badgeland | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anna’s Arabesque | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | San Mateo Kat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lure’em In | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Seek | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Islandinthestream | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Plus | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jade d’Amore | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Dynamo | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Marmo Moon | 8.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Black Ace | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Macee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deal Me a Penny | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shesabeautydancer | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cced for Steph | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Non Binding | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Country Lady | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funkylittleshack | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Ninja | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crypto Brave | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Royal Princess | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.