Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Veterans Day 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Happy Season 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Gray Dane 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Autumn’s So Flashy 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Saucy Argument 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Apriority Avenger 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Got Me a Chrysler 3.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 He’s Trouble 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Plemmonston 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Overthought 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Arctic Rose 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 East Lex 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Keys Included 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Freightrainfreeman 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Muscadine 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 October Surprise 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Xietelehuas 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Total Malice 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Romantic Beast 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Candy’s Parade 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Quinn Murphy 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Izeonpoint 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Roya 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Queen’s Mission 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Angel of Verdun 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kings Wager 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 War Trolley 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Northernreflection 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Mizspelt 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Gildersleeve 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Perfect Strike 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lifeasweknowit 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Gotta Deal 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Cigar Van 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Viola Star 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Start Well 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lovers Never Say 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Fuhr Meo 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Trinity Hope 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mean American 3.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Miss Kennedy 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Sky High Susan 12.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Czar’s Ballerina 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quality 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blame the Toll 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Transparency 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Magic Palace 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Soultitlesready 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Kiki Krazy 4.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 I Am Up 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Audaciousness 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Destine to Race 8.00 2.5 5-1
14 14 Golden View 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Zoom Erin 8.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Thisoneisforyou 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Badgeland 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Anna’s Arabesque 3.00 6 11-1
16 16 San Mateo Kat 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Lure’em In 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sister Seek 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Islandinthestream 3.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 Gold Plus 6.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Jade d’Amore 10.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Lady Dynamo 8.00 10.1 19-1
15 15 Marmo Moon 8.00 15.9 30-1
13 13 Black Ace 12.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Macee 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Deal Me a Penny 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shesabeautydancer 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Cced for Steph 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Non Binding 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Country Lady 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Funkylittleshack 6.00 7 13-1
10 10 Cajun Ninja 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Crypto Brave 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 My Royal Princess 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.