Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flower Cat 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Half Magic 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Custom Blue Grass 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Relic Hunter 1.60 3.1 6-1
3 3 Risktaker 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Infinitesimal 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Heza Sexy Zong 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Catchin Drama 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Check Me Out 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Comanche Warrior 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Creole Reb 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Father Mark 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Party Little Boy 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Boss Man Zong 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Magnolia Midnight 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Invisible War 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Courthouse Cove 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Heza Way Maker 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 He’s a Bomb 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 New Year Surprise 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La Boucane 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Simply Wow 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Humor Me Please 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cool Spirit 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Star Ready 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Gem Collection 3.50 7.6 14-1
3 3 Winning Dance 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Honey’s Hope 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tiana’s Star (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clever Joke 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Jayla 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Super Cool Storm 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ju Ju Vip 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Layla’s Song 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Perfection Saver 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Acting 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Coal Boss 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Brite Outlook 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ghost Bike 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Booster Shot 3.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Remastered 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Butler Cabin 5.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Wolf Hunter 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beautifulguatemala 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Louisiana Cowgirl 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Visionista 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Muchmorethanready 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Luminous Flight 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Grace Hazel 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Calcite 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mia Antonia 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Blessed Assurance 12.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Everylittlesingh 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sailing Solo 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hard Love 4.50 3.9 7-1
15 15 Captivating Moon 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Native Thunder 8.00 4.2 8-1
16 16 Portos 4.00 5.7 11-1
14 14 Artie’s Rumor 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Firewater Jake 5.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Freedom’s Way 5.00 11.9 22-1
2 2 Nepotism 12.00 13.1 25-1
1 1 My Romeo Lima 8.00 13.5 25-1
11 11 Sniveling 8.00 13.9 26-1
13 13 Duke of Carthania 12.00 14 26-1
10 10 Fortuity 6.00 14.3 27-1
8 8 Beaver Hat 8.00 14.6 27-1
12 12 Silent Tap 12.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Giannis 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Dialed a Dame 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Rammer Jammer 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Whiskey Gent 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Gorostieta’s Love 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Ironman Richie 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bucky Bik Coin 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Midnight Dreaming 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Groom Lake 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 In Detail 8.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Masquerade Ball 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.