Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Una Luna 4.00 2.21 11.80 5.40 3.80
4 Sandpiper Memories 3.50 1.27 3.80 3.00
5 Chica Boom 5.00 2.12 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $21.40
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-5) Pays $44.95
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-5-3) Pays $28.36


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Outperform 2.00 1.00 4.80 2.80 2.10
2 Tallis 6.00 3.42 4.00 2.60
6 Honesto 3.00 1.64 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (3-2) Pays $11.10
$0.50 Trifecta (3-2-6) Pays $9.10
$0.10 Superfecta (3-2-6-4) Pays $3.74


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Khozeiress 2.00 2.27 3.60 2.40 2.10
2 Adios Papa Chico 6.00 1.52 2.80 2.10
3 Bernardo’s Legacy 2.50 1.00 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-2) Pays $4.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-2-3) Pays $6.45
$0.10 Superfecta (6-2-3-1) Pays $1.59


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Divine Connection 3.00 1.00 4.20 2.60 2.10
7 Alice Harper 3.00 1.97 2.80 2.10
6 Tiz Bizness 1.40 1.67 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $5.30
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-6) Pays $4.60
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-6-5) Pays $1.71


RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Alley Oop Johnny 4.50 3.39 7.80 4.60 3.00
4 Swashbuckle 15.00 1.00 24.00 5.60
11 Fly the W 3.00 2.96 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-4) Pays $92.70
$0.50 Trifecta (7-4-11) Pays $232.20
$0.10 Superfecta (7-4-11-3) Pays $208.68


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Dominican Ice 6.00 2.79 6.60 3.20 2.60
1 Stealththirtyfour 2.00 5.23 4.80 3.00
4 Jrue Breeze 5.00 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $16.60
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-4) Pays $27.15
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-4-7) Pays $22.67


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Mooncapture 5.00 1.00 5.80 3.40 2.40
7 Free Smoke 3.00 3.12 3.40 2.60
4 Get Khozy 2.50 1.49 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-7) Pays $11.90
$0.50 Trifecta (2-7-4) Pays $15.10
$0.10 Superfecta (2-7-4-3) Pays $8.65


RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Pachanga Loca 2.50 2.13 5.80 3.20 2.60
3 Flag Woman 3.00 1.00 3.80 3.00
6 Sturdy Girl 12.00 6.37 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $9.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-6) Pays $44.35
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-6-7) Pays $27.53


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 David’s Rose 12.00 5.55 26.20 10.20 6.20
David’s Rose
10 Baby Steps 5.00 1.98 5.00 3.60
2 Claudette Heir 12.00 6.02 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-10) Pays $62.70
$0.50 Trifecta (5-10-2) Pays $174.40
$0.10 Superfecta (5-10-2-9) Pays $91.34


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.