Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Systemic Change 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Corton Charlemagne 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Rapper Zapper 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Kaon 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Alternate Reality 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Chess Spectacular 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eight and Sand 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Central Pride 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 7 Quackenbush 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 I Can See That 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Thirty Oysters 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Rhum Pressure 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Forward Cast 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Optic Way 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Leddy 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Wild Banker 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Caribbean (AUS) 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Caerus 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pit Boss 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Therisastormbrewin 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Improper 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Mo Than Luck 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Cloud Music 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Father of Lies 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Poor and Polite 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Legal Catch 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Crunch B B B 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Wealllikedhim 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jester’s Song 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Built to Last 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Necromancer 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Upper Level 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mauritius 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Buckingham Prince 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Volkert 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Itsalittlebitfunny 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dame Cinco 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Meghan 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Mon Petit Chou 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Alpine Queen 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Shasta Star 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Chloe Rose 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Saratoga Beauty 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Triple P 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bobby Bo 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Simply 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mason Mania 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Safalow’s Mission 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Golden Code 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Majestic Tiger 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Son of an Ex 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Forever Wicked 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Datesfreedom 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Super Quality 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Thunderian 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 The Cobbler 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Vive Bien 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Johnselectricride 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 He’sgottashortfuse 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Misbehaved 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Star Attitude 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Raw Courage 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.