Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Crystal Crescent 1.80 4.27 7.40 3.20 2.40
5 Bad Outlook 1.60 1.00 2.60 2.20
2 Mo Silver 12.00 5.87 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $7.40
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-2) Pays $17.70
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-2-4) Pays $7.03


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Undecoded 4.00 1.00 10.40 5.20 2.80
7 Xylophone 6.00 4.20 4.40 3.20
6 Ipsum Gratus 2.00 3.43 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-7) Pays $20.50
$0.50 Trifecta (5-7-6) Pays $26.05
$0.10 Superfecta (5-7-6-3) Pays $17.76


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Under the Gun 12.00 4.40 36.20 10.60 5.40
2 Victory March 3.50 3.02 4.20 3.20
1 Blow Torch 5.00 7.00 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-2) Pays $52.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-2-1) Pays $130.20
$0.10 Superfecta (3-2-1-7) Pays $76.26


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Gozilla 2.00 7.00 8.80 4.20 3.00
5 Slam Dunk Sermon 2.50 1.00 3.40 2.60
4 Lake Radio 3.50 4.34 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $17.10
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-4) Pays $26.00
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-4-2) Pays $42.47


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Black Apple 4.50 1.00 14.00 5.80 4.00
10 Storm Strategy 3.00 3.13 5.20 3.40
2 Jim Ned 15.00 4.45 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-10) Pays $29.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-10-2) Pays $89.15
$0.10 Superfecta (3-10-2-5) Pays $42.86


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Pioneering Papa 1.80 2.07 7.60 4.60 2.80
2 Spend Benjamins 12.00 1.00 6.00 3.20
6 Shady Empire 2.00 1.69 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $19.40
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-6) Pays $40.35
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-6-5) Pays $34.87


RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Secret Fix 1.80 3.41 3.20 2.40 2.20
9 Knowing Glance 2.00 5.26 3.80 3.20
6 Dream Streak 5.00 4.44 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-9) Pays $7.30
$0.50 Trifecta (7-9-6) Pays $15.95
$0.10 Superfecta (7-9-6-8) Pays $11.62


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Mozingo 8.00 1.67 18.60 8.60 5.60
2 Gramercy Park 8.00 5.48 5.80 4.60
1 Hamazing Debate 20.00 3.34 15.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-2) Pays $50.70
$0.50 Trifecta (10-2-1) Pays $414.50
$0.10 Superfecta (10-2-1-5) Pays $1,337.49


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Singing Emma 8.00 3.51 20.00 7.00 4.60
8 I’m Beth Dutton 8.00 2.55 5.20 3.80
10 Tiz Sweet Candy 10.00 2.77 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-8) Pays $47.00
$0.50 Trifecta (2-8-10) Pays $120.80
$0.10 Superfecta (2-8-10-6) Pays $53.22


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.