Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ride Up | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Image | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warman Road | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Bite | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Login Required | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nieuwendyk | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sway’sinmydna | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Bomber | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doin’ittherightway | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Built | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Shot | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gandy Dancing | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naked and Famous | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Andrew | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey Loose Lips | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cut the Cord | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turnsandconditions | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Brew Pub | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Be Best | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaman Princess | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danseur d’Oro | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Chata | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Return | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charisse | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debbie Darling | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mama’s Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ride | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Connection | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adero | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inspeightoftrainer | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrebato | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sounds Spooky | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | After Five | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jokemeister | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brunate | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Shooter | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Beat Me | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Cupid | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exxtop | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| After Five | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cupids Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bean Christine | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charley Rude | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Principessa | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reigning Chick | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J D Advantage | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Try It Again | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Game Theory | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reserve Currency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patient Capital | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Moon | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majority Partner | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six Percent | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shipsational | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luni Sima | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Jokers | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jumpster | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| Majority Partner | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Correction S.) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rossa Veloce | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigy Doll | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fouette | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Easy to Bless | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Love | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Buzzy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Self Isolation | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tentations | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Luca | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Central Love | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helicopter Money | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Escape Mission | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makart | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impulsive Spending | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Glory | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fourfaith | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metamorphoses | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Excalibrate | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Busta | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.