Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Kingfish Stevens 10.00 7.72 13.00 6.40 4.40
2 Imposter Syndrome 3.50 1.00 3.60 2.80
4 Ranseur 5.00 3.42 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (9-2) Pays $25.70
$0.50 Trifecta (9-2-4) Pays $37.70
$0.10 Superfecta (9-2-4-8) Pays $100.96


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Canadiansweetheart 2.50 1.00 3.80 2.60 2.40
5 Bullock 6.00 3.25 7.60 5.00
4 Musical Journey 6.00 1.88 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-5) Pays $13.80
$0.50 Trifecta (7-5-4) Pays $37.65
$0.10 Superfecta (7-5-4-6) Pays $20.13


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Chasing Silver 15.00 6.25 46.80 10.80 4.80
8 West Bank 1.40 1.00 2.40 2.10
6 Mystify 4.00 2.12 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-8) Pays $48.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-8-6) Pays $44.70
$0.10 Superfecta (4-8-6-2) Pays $22.75


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Beantown Baby 3.00 1.00 6.80 3.80 3.20
7 Chromeplated Heart 3.50 1.24 4.80 3.40
6 Crowding Out 3.50 2.85 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $19.80
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-6) Pays $36.30
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-6-5) Pays $89.66


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Empirestrikesfast 12.00 7.00 49.80 9.60 9.20
7 Dreamlike 1.40 1.13 2.10 2.10
5 Cyber Ninja 10.00 6.35 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $49.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-5) Pays $46.75
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-5-1) Pays $75.44


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Heals the Soul 2.00 2.59 7.20 4.40 3.00
2 Corduroy Road 12.00 3.83 10.20 5.00
10 Uranium 3.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-2) Pays $28.30
$0.50 Trifecta (8-2-10) Pays $31.65
$0.10 Superfecta (8-2-10-9) Pays $62.87


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Violet Gibson (IRE) 8.00 10.69 12.40 6.00 3.60
6 Le Beau 3.50 5.55 4.60 3.00
3 Typey 3.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-6) Pays $30.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-6-3) Pays $32.40
$0.10 Superfecta (1-6-3-5) Pays $92.91


RACE NUMBER 8 (Hurricane Bertie S.) – Hurricane Bertie S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Frank’s Rockette 0.80 1.00 2.80 2.20 2.10
5 Drifaros 6.00 3.53 4.60 3.60
6 R Adios Jersey 8.00 3.56 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $5.60
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-6) Pays $17.10
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-6-2) Pays $9.60


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Far Bridge 2.50 3.27 3.00 2.10 2.10
3 Harry Time (IRE) 4.50 6.74 3.60 3.00
1 Emperor’s Appeal 15.00 3.51 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (9-3) Pays $4.10
$0.50 Trifecta (9-3-1) Pays $14.00
$0.10 Superfecta (9-3-1-12) Pays $16.33


RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Starship Renegade 3.00 1.00 7.20 3.60 2.80
4 Gangly 4.50 2.97 6.40 3.80
8 Rod Two Rod 12.00 8.00 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $19.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-8) Pays $44.95
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-8-7) Pays $37.06


RACE NUMBER 11 (Captiva Island S.) – Captiva Island S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Little Jewel 15.00 5.96 18.00 6.00 3.80
4 Train to Artemus 3.00 1.00 3.40 2.20
1 Charlie T 4.00 2.81 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $28.00
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-1) Pays $34.65
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-1-9) Pays $25.93


RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Coop Tries Harder 12.00 4.98 23.40 9.60 5.80
7 Celebratory 4.50 3.80 6.20 4.00
5 Raise the Rent 4.00 1.00 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $68.20
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-5) Pays $295.20
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-5-8) Pays $339.37


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.