Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Dr. Forman 4.00 1.00 5.60 3.40 2.60
1 Twitty City 10.00 1.66 5.80 3.60
4 Otis Otis Otis 3.50 1.45 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $15.70
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-4) Pays $34.65
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-4-5) Pays $18.37


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
12 Hardscrabble 2.50 2.21 13.00 5.00 4.00
10 Chaleco 4.00 3.19 4.00 3.40
1 Pepperonikid 12.00 7.36 5.60

$1.00 Exacta (12-10) Pays $25.80
$0.50 Trifecta (12-10-1) Pays $99.10
$0.10 Superfecta (12-10-1-2) Pays $49.69


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 American Band 4.00 5.67 5.60 3.60 2.60
5 Proud Foot 3.00 7.67 4.80 3.00
7 Candy Caramel 4.50 2.58 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $11.50
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-7) Pays $17.70
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-7-1) Pays $32.12


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Unsung Melody 2.50 1.04 7.00 3.60 3.20
11 Into Love 4.00 1.00 4.40 3.40
3 Shesasmalltowngirl 12.00 2.00 5.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-11) Pays $17.40
$0.50 Trifecta (4-11-3) Pays $79.80
$0.10 Superfecta (4-11-3-1) Pays $56.37


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Lansdowne 15.00 4.00 30.60 13.00 7.20
7 Peaceful Street 3.00 1.00 4.20 2.80
5 Mean Jakey 6.00 2.24 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-7) Pays $68.30
$0.50 Trifecta (2-7-5) Pays $165.05
$0.10 Superfecta (2-7-5-10) Pays $177.18


RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Major Blue 12.00 2.00 7.60 4.80 4.00
1 Kingdom 15.00 3.30 14.40 9.80
5 Southern Sunset 6.00 2.07 6.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $68.50
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-5) Pays $225.80
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-5-2) Pays $202.43


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Icarus 5.00 1.00 17.60 6.60 4.40
1 Barber Road 3.50 3.30 4.20 3.00
4 Back Ring Luck 10.00 1.53 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (10-1) Pays $39.00
$0.50 Trifecta (10-1-4) Pays $153.55
$0.10 Superfecta (10-1-4-7) Pays $148.40


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
12 Interlock Empire 12.00 3.62 37.40 9.80 6.20
7 Seeking Unity 1.40 1.00 3.40 2.60
4 Go Cats 5.00 4.87 5.60

$1.00 Exacta (12-7) Pays $65.80
$0.50 Trifecta (12-7-4) Pays $335.05
$0.10 Superfecta (12-7-4-1) Pays $281.07


RACE NUMBER 9 (Azeri S.) – Azeri S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Secret Oath 2.50 1.68 4.80 2.80 2.20
3 Clairiere 1.20 1.00 2.60 2.10
5 Interstatedaydream 3.00 3.87 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $5.30
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-5) Pays $8.15
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-5-7) Pays $8.25


RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Willow Creek Road 5.00 7.00 14.60 5.00 4.00
5 Midnight Taxes 2.00 5.15 3.40 2.80
4 Where’s Randy 15.00 4.80 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (9-5) Pays $27.90
$0.50 Trifecta (9-5-4) Pays $139.70
$0.10 Superfecta (9-5-4-10) Pays $113.25


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.