Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 El Potente 3.50 4.05 4.40 3.20 2.40
4 Fireman Dan 15.00 5.10 6.20 3.60
2 Goldeneye 6.00 2.17 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (9-4) Pays $13.40
$0.50 Trifecta (9-4-2) Pays $18.95
$0.10 Superfecta (9-4-2-5) Pays $5.45


RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Crowning Gold 2.50 1.00 3.40 3.00 2.20
3 Chick’s Dig It 6.00 3.29 7.80 3.80
1 Goldenspa 3.00 1.74 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (2-3) Pays $12.70
$0.50 Trifecta (2-3-1) Pays $18.35
$0.10 Superfecta (2-3-1-5) Pays $5.43


RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Venganza 4.00 1.00 2.10 0.00 0.00
3 Saburo’s Girl 20.00 4.28 0.00 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-3) Pays $1.05
$0.50 Trifecta (Refund) Pays $1.00
$0.10 Superfecta (Refund) Pays $1.00


RACE NUMBER 5 (San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel) – San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Spirit of Makena 4.00 1.16 7.00 3.60 2.60
2 Forbidden Kingdom 1.60 1.00 4.00 2.40
5 Get Her Number 1.80 1.89 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-2) Pays $11.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-2-5) Pays $10.10
$0.10 Superfecta (3-2-5-6) Pays $6.41


RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 I Don’t Get It 2.50 6.02 4.20 2.40 2.20
3 Yellow Brick 2.00 1.00 2.60 2.20
7 Dazzlemesilver 6.00 7.00 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-3) Pays $3.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-3-7) Pays $17.00
$0.10 Superfecta (6-3-7-1) Pays $7.34


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Telos 15.00 7.70 21.00 8.40 4.80
11 Keen to Go 8.00 1.13 4.20 3.00
7 Russells Hustle 4.00 1.00 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (9-11) Pays $35.70
$0.50 Trifecta (9-11-7) Pays $58.55
$0.10 Superfecta (9-11-7-3) Pays $30.37


RACE NUMBER 8 (Beholder Mile S.) – Beholder Mile S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 A Mo Reay 5.00 2.59 17.80 5.20 4.60
8 Fun to Dream 2.50 1.00 2.60 2.20
4 Midnight Memories 4.00 1.78 4.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-8) Pays $27.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-8-4) Pays $81.15
$0.10 Superfecta (5-8-4-7) Pays $55.81


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Very Scary 3.00 1.05 4.80 3.20 0.00
4 Pop Pop’s Dream 8.00 2.71 3.60 0.00
7 Barrister’s Ride 5.00 3.19 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $11.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-7) Pays $10.90
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-7-9) Pays $1.86


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.