Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Firingtothefront 4.50 2.90 7.00 4.40 3.80
4 Champagne Affair 4.00 2.87 3.40 2.80
3 Summerjustbet Her 3.50 2.90 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-4) Pays $10.50
$0.50 Trifecta (2-4-3) Pays $20.85
$0.10 Superfecta (2-4-3-6) Pays $8.70


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Dianna’s Jet 2.00 1.00 8.00 3.20 2.40
2 Varsity Flygirl 1.60 1.46 2.10 2.40
5 Cave Creek 12.00 4.99 4.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $7.60
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-5) Pays $18.05
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-5-3) Pays $8.10


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Entitlement 4.50 2.26 14.80 5.20 3.80
1 Drewsilla 2.00 2.09 3.00 2.20
4 Yockey Betterfly 8.00 7.87 6.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $22.70
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-4) Pays $124.00
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-4-7) Pays $125.25


RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Blue Cheese 4.50 2.42 7.00 3.40 2.60
3 Pacificislandtime 4.50 3.35 5.00 3.20
7 Cosmic Train 4.00 2.07 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-3) Pays $21.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-3-7) Pays $30.60
$0.10 Superfecta (4-3-7-1) Pays $12.96


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Cajun Ninja 6.00 3.21 6.60 4.00 3.40
9 Copper Moon 20.00 7.06 16.80 11.20
8 Dolly’s Guitar 15.00 6.83 11.20

$1.00 Exacta (3-9) Pays $58.40
$0.50 Trifecta (3-9-8) Pays $411.60
$0.10 Superfecta (3-9-8-6) Pays $407.14


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Idratherbeblessed 3.50 1.00 5.20 3.00 2.20
3 Counterspy 4.00 4.05 3.00 2.40
4 Fight Fiercely 4.00 1.58 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $7.60
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-4) Pays $10.25
$0.10 Superfecta (1-3-4-6) Pays $7.39


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Lure’em In 5.00 4.23 7.60 4.80 3.80
6 Jade d’Amore 6.00 4.49 5.60 4.80
8 Ragtime Belle 15.00 9.03 9.60

$1.00 Exacta (3-6) Pays $34.20
$0.50 Trifecta (3-6-8) Pays $229.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-6-8-2) Pays $268.59


RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Royal Unlimited 8.00 2.80 11.00 5.00 4.60
1 Inspector Ed 4.00 3.39 3.20 2.60
10 Checkulater 8.00 4.36 8.20

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $13.20
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-10) Pays $64.95
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-10-7) Pays $68.28


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.