Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Phosphorescence (FR) 2.50 1.00 8.20 4.00 3.60
7 Calm Sea 12.00 5.87 6.80 5.60
4 Precision Strike 6.00 6.07 10.40

$1.00 Exacta (1-7) Pays $26.60
$0.50 Trifecta (1-7-4) Pays $178.45
$0.10 Superfecta (1-7-4-2) Pays $108.95


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Gila 10.00 3.34 7.60 3.60 2.60
4 Jacqueline Cochran 2.50 1.00 3.60 2.80
3 Prestigious 2.50 3.74 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-4) Pays $11.10
$0.50 Trifecta (6-4-3) Pays $16.60
$0.10 Superfecta (6-4-3-5) Pays $20.88


RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Angelcents 3.00 1.79 6.00 3.20 2.60
1 Ready Jet Go 3.50 1.66 3.40 2.60
2 Teen Drama 4.00 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $8.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-2) Pays $12.90
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-2-5) Pays $7.63


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Butkus 2.50 2.94 7.60 2.80 2.10
2 Sawasdee 1.80 1.66 2.20 2.10
3 Sonic Brees 3.50 2.08 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-2) Pays $7.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-2-3) Pays $5.20
$0.10 Superfecta (5-2-3-4) Pays $1.98


RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Vantastic 5.00 3.87 7.60 3.80 2.80
5 Yeng Again 3.50 2.02 4.00 2.80
6 Standing O 4.00 1.27 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (8-5) Pays $15.70
$0.50 Trifecta (8-5-6) Pays $30.85
$0.10 Superfecta (8-5-6-3) Pays $22.22


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Big Bell 2.50 1.00 6.20 3.00 2.40
4 Silent Beauty 1.80 2.88 2.80 2.20
3 Spoiled Rotten 4.00 3.89 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (5-4) Pays $9.70
$0.50 Trifecta (5-4-3) Pays $16.75
$0.10 Superfecta (5-4-3-2) Pays $12.44


RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Ana S.) – Santa Ana S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Ballet Dancing 4.00 2.49 11.40 5.60 3.80
2 Queen Ofthe Temple 3.50 3.47 5.60 3.40
5 Duvet Day (IRE) 4.00 2.67 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (9-2) Pays $25.90
$0.50 Trifecta (9-2-5) Pays $53.35
$0.10 Superfecta (9-2-5-7) Pays $23.44


RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Sunrise Journey 4.00 3.44 13.20 5.60 3.40
1 I Got No Munny 2.00 6.00 3.20 2.20
6 Joker Boy 6.00 5.36 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $22.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-6) Pays $37.40
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-6-3) Pays $26.26


RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Barristan The Bold (GB) 8.00 4.66 33.00 17.00 8.20
2 Maven 6.00 2.82 6.60 4.00
7 See Through It 5.00 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $103.60
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-7) Pays $167.10
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-7-1) Pays $190.84


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.